Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 38.02%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 37.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.57%) and 0-2 (5.67%). The likeliest Rennes win was 2-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Monaco in this match.
| Result | ||
| Rennes | Draw | Monaco |
| 37.61% ( | 24.37% ( | 38.02% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.08% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.33% ( | 42.67% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.93% ( | 65.07% ( |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.41% ( | 22.59% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.8% ( | 56.2% ( |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.62% ( | 22.38% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.11% ( | 55.89% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rennes | Draw | Monaco |
| 2-1 @ 8.38% ( 1-0 @ 7.52% ( 2-0 @ 5.6% ( 3-1 @ 4.15% ( 3-2 @ 3.11% ( 3-0 @ 2.77% ( 4-1 @ 1.54% ( 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 4-0 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.35% Total : 37.61% | 1-1 @ 11.26% ( 2-2 @ 6.27% ( 0-0 @ 5.06% ( 3-3 @ 1.55% ( Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.37% | 1-2 @ 8.43% ( 0-1 @ 7.57% ( 0-2 @ 5.67% ( 1-3 @ 4.21% ( 2-3 @ 3.13% ( 0-3 @ 2.83% ( 1-4 @ 1.57% ( 2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0-4 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 2.4% Total : 38.02% |