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Ligue 1

Rennes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 4
Sep 15, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade Paul Audrin
Montpellier

Rennes
3 - 0
Montpellier

Blas (24'), Kalimuendo (35'), Gronbaek (60')
Seidu (9')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Nzingoula (21'), Nzingoula (79'), Dzodic (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Rennes and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rennes

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 2-1 Rennes
Sunday, September 1 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 1-3 Nantes
Saturday, August 31 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 55.87%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 21.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.

Result
RennesDrawMontpellier HSC
55.87% (-0.546 -0.55)22.69% (0.173 0.17)21.44% (0.378 0.38)
Both teams to score 54.92% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.46% (-0.277 -0.28)44.54% (0.281 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.09% (-0.269 -0.27)66.91% (0.27200000000001 0.27)
Rennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.22% (-0.28 -0.28)15.78% (0.283 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.08% (-0.52 -0.52)44.92% (0.524 0.52)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.21% (0.209 0.21)34.79% (-0.206 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.48% (0.221 0.22)71.52% (-0.217 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Rennes 55.86%
    Montpellier HSC 21.44%
    Draw 22.69%
RennesDrawMontpellier HSC
1-0 @ 10.13% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.36% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.08% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
3-0 @ 5.76% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-2 @ 3.21% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.81% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.66% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.04% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-0 @ 0.98% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 55.86%
1-1 @ 10.7% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 5.49% (0.067 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.69%
0-1 @ 5.8% (0.102 0.1)
1-2 @ 5.65% (0.077 0.08)
0-2 @ 3.06% (0.071 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.99% (0.038 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.84% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.08% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 21.44%

How you voted: Rennes vs Montpellier

Rennes
80.5%
Draw
17.1%
Montpellier HSC
2.4%
41
Head to Head
Feb 3, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 20
Rennes
2-1
Montpellier
Terrier (3'), Kalimuendo (48' pen.)
Truffert (45+4'), Kalimuendo (53'), Yildirim (80'), Le Fee (86')
Savanier (73')
Sagnan (12'), Khazri (30'), Mincarelli (47')
> Preview
Sep 24, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 6
Montpellier
0-0
Rennes
Chotard (78'), Ferri (90+4')
Yildirim (32')
> Preview
Apr 23, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 32
Montpellier
1-0
Rennes
Mavididi (84')
> Preview
Oct 30, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 13
Rennes
3-0
Montpellier
Terrier (15'), Kalimuendo (23'), Gouiri (85')
> Preview
Feb 25, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 26
Montpellier
2-4
Rennes
Oyongo (19'), Wahi (41')
Savanier (26'), Germain (74'), Oyongo (85')
Terrier (8'), Bourigeaud (15'), Laborde (52' pen.), Majer (84')
Traore (28'), Omari (70')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG34266292355784
2Marseille34205974472765
3MonacoMonaco34187963412261
4Nice34179866412560
5Lille34179852361660
6Lyon341761165461957
7StrasbourgStrasbourg34169956441257
8Lens34157124239352
9Brest34155145259-750
10Toulouse34119144443142
11Auxerre34119144851-342
12Rennes34132195150141
13NantesNantes34812143952-1336
14Angers34106183253-2136
15Le HavreLe Havre34104204071-3134
16Reims3489173347-1433
RSaint-EtienneSt Etienne3486203977-3830
RMontpellier HSCMontpellier3444262379-5616
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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