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Ligue 1

Rennes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 1
Aug 18, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Roazhon Park
Lyon

Rennes
3 - 0
Lyon

Bourigeaud (19'), Gouiri (21'), Meister (90+1')
Skiri Oestigaard (42'), Assignon (64')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Caleta-Car (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Rennes and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rennes

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 1-1 Werder Bremen
Saturday, August 10 at 1.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

Lyon

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Arsenal 2-0 Lyon
Sunday, August 11 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.84%) and 2-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-2 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.

Result
RennesDrawLyon
41.36% (-0.12 -0.12)23.39% (0.044 0.04)35.25% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Both teams to score 63.5% (-0.15 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.88% (-0.205 -0.2)38.11% (0.201 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.62% (-0.215 -0.22)60.38% (0.211 0.21)
Rennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.14% (-0.136 -0.14)18.85% (0.132 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.69% (-0.226 -0.23)50.31% (0.222 0.22)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.25% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)21.75% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.07% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)54.93% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Rennes 41.36%
    Lyon 35.25%
    Draw 23.38%
RennesDrawLyon
2-1 @ 8.71% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-0 @ 6.84% (0.036 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.71% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.84% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.69% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.17% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.02% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.54% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.32% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 41.36%
1-1 @ 10.43% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.64% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.1% (0.039 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.88% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.38%
1-2 @ 7.96% (0.016 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.26% (0.05 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.77% (0.03 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.05% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-3 @ 3.38% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.43% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.54% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.29% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.93% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 35.25%

How you voted: Rennes vs Lyon

Rennes
31.4%
Draw
24.3%
Lyon
44.3%
70
Head to Head
Jan 26, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 19
Lyon
2-3
Rennes
Henrique (57'), Lacazette (78')
Mata (33'), Nuamah (58')
Terrier (22', 41'), Doue (36')
Santamaria (7'), Stephan (8'), Truffert (66')
> Preview
Nov 12, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 12
Rennes
0-1
Lyon

Salah (45'), Matic (75'), Theate (75')
Doue (5')
O'Brien (67')
Grosso (6'), Tagliafico (79')
> Preview
Apr 9, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 30
Lyon
3-1
Rennes
Tolisso (60'), Lacazette (68'), Barcola (79')
Gouiri (11')
> Preview
Oct 16, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 11
Rennes
3-2
Lyon
Terrier (38', 77'), Gouiri (47')
Lacazette (23', 72')
> Preview
Mar 13, 2022 4.05pm
Gameweek 28
Lyon
2-4
Rennes
Traore (59' og.), Dembele (82' pen.)
Mendes (11'), Ndombele (20')
Bourigeaud (11'), Santamaria (13'), Majer (45+1'), Terrier (49')
Truffert (27'), Doku (68'), Gomis (80')
> Preview