

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 36.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.57%) and 2-0 (5.46%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lyon | Draw | Monaco |
| 40.33% ( | 23.28% ( | 36.39% ( |
| Both teams to score 64.14% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.64% ( | 37.36% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.42% ( | 59.58% ( |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.01% ( | 18.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.47% ( | 50.53% ( |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.17% ( | 20.83% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.49% ( | 53.51% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lyon | Draw | Monaco |
| 2-1 @ 8.56% ( 1-0 @ 6.57% ( 2-0 @ 5.46% ( 3-1 @ 4.74% ( 3-2 @ 3.72% ( 3-0 @ 3.02% ( 4-1 @ 1.97% ( 4-2 @ 1.55% ( 4-0 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 3.48% Total : 40.33% | 1-1 @ 10.3% ( 2-2 @ 6.72% ( 0-0 @ 3.95% ( 3-3 @ 1.95% ( Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.27% | 1-2 @ 8.09% ( 0-1 @ 6.2% ( 0-2 @ 4.87% ( 1-3 @ 4.23% ( 2-3 @ 3.51% ( 0-3 @ 2.55% ( 1-4 @ 1.66% ( 2-4 @ 1.38% ( 0-4 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.91% Total : 36.39% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 33 | 52 | 78 |
| 2 | Marseille | 32 | 18 | 5 | 9 | 67 | 44 | 23 | 59 |
| 3 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 58 |
| 4 | Nice | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 60 | 39 | 21 | 57 |
| 5 | Lille | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 50 | 33 | 17 | 57 |
| 6 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 53 | 39 | 14 | 57 |
| 7 | Lyon | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 54 |
| 8 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 48 |
| 9 | Brest | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 50 | 53 | -3 | 47 |
| 10 | Auxerre | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 41 |
| 11 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 2 | 18 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 38 |
| 12 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 38 |
| 13 | Reims | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 33 |
| 14 | Angers | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 30 | 50 | -20 | 33 |
| 15 | NantesNantes | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 32 |
| 16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 9 | 4 | 19 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 31 |
| 17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 32 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 35 | 74 | -39 | 27 |
| 18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 72 | -50 | 16 |
| > Ligue 1 Full Table | |||||||||
