Ligue 1 | Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade Saint-Symphorien
Metz2 - 5Monaco
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Monaco 2-2 Lorient
Sunday, March 17 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, March 17 at 2pm in Ligue 1
We said: Metz 1-2 Monaco
Monaco have surprisingly fared better recently on their travels, winning the last three at Nice (3-2), Lens (3-2) and Strasbourg (1-0) compared to picking up a point from six in recent home matches. The visitors are backed for another road success at Metz's expense, with the home team unlikely to avoid back-to-back losses. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 42.72%. A win for Metz had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Metz win was 1-0 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Metz | Draw | Monaco |
31.67% ( -0.34) | 25.61% ( 0.06) | 42.72% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 54.46% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
