The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Metz and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 51.26%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Metz had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.71%) and 1-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a Metz win it was 1-0 (7.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Metz | Draw | Monaco |
| 23.4% | 25.33% | 51.26% |
| Both teams to score 49.19% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.63% | 53.36% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.09% | 74.9% |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.13% | 37.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.36% | 74.64% |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.17% | 20.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.49% | 53.51% |
| Score Analysis |
Metz 23.4%
Monaco 51.26%
Draw 25.33%
| Metz | Draw | Monaco |
| 1-0 @ 7.66% 2-1 @ 5.83% 2-0 @ 3.72% 3-1 @ 1.89% 3-2 @ 1.48% 3-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.61% Total : 23.4% | 1-1 @ 12.01% 0-0 @ 7.89% 2-2 @ 4.58% Other @ 0.85% Total : 25.33% | 0-1 @ 12.37% 0-2 @ 9.71% 1-2 @ 9.43% 0-3 @ 5.08% 1-3 @ 4.93% 2-3 @ 2.39% 0-4 @ 1.99% 1-4 @ 1.93% 2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.5% Total : 51.26% |
How you voted: Metz vs Monaco
Metz
8.6%Draw
20.0%Monaco
71.4%35
Head to Head
Dec 5, 2021 2pm
Apr 6, 2021 5.45pm
Apr 3, 2021 12pm
Aug 30, 2020 2pm
May 2, 2020 7pm
Form Guide
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