| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Metz | 37 | -29 | 31 |
| 19 | Saint-Etienne | 37 | -35 | 31 |
| 20 | Bordeaux | 37 | -41 | 28 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Lorient | 37 | -28 | 35 |
| 18 | Metz | 37 | -29 | 31 |
| 19 | Saint-Etienne | 37 | -35 | 31 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Metz had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Saint-Etienne in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Saint-Etienne.
| Result | ||
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Metz |
| 41.94% | 26.92% | 31.14% |
| Both teams to score 50.13% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.11% | 54.89% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.82% | 76.18% |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.16% | 25.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.19% | 60.81% |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.6% | 32.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.09% | 68.92% |
| Score Analysis |
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Metz |
| 1-0 @ 11.33% 2-1 @ 8.64% 2-0 @ 7.67% 3-1 @ 3.9% 3-0 @ 3.46% 3-2 @ 2.2% 4-1 @ 1.32% 4-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.26% Total : 41.94% | 1-1 @ 12.76% 0-0 @ 8.37% 2-2 @ 4.87% Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.91% | 0-1 @ 9.44% 1-2 @ 7.2% 0-2 @ 5.32% 1-3 @ 2.7% 0-3 @ 2% 2-3 @ 1.83% Other @ 2.67% Total : 31.15% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 24 | 3 | 5 | 75 | 31 | 44 | 75 |
| 2 | Lens | 32 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 54 | 25 | 29 | 66 |
| 3 | Marseille | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 57 | 30 | 27 | 64 |
| 4 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 66 | 46 | 20 | 61 |
| 5 | Lille | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 57 | 40 | 17 | 56 |
| 6 | Rennes | 31 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 51 | 33 | 18 | 53 |
| 7 | Lyon | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 50 |
| 8 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 14 | 6 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 47 |
| 9 | Nice | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 45 |
| 10 | Lorient | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 45 |
| 11 | Clermont | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 43 |
| 12 | Toulouse | 31 | 11 | 5 | 15 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 38 |
| 13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 11 | 4 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 37 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 33 |
| 15 | NantesNantes | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 31 |
| 16 | Brest | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 31 |
| 17 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 41 | 53 | -12 | 29 |
| 18 | Troyes | 31 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 21 |
| 19 | Ajaccio | 31 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 22 | 58 | -36 | 21 |
| R | Angers | 32 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 25 | 68 | -43 | 14 |
| > Full Version | |||||||||
