The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Metz and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: PSG 5-0 Metz
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Saint-Etienne | 38 | -35 | 32 |
| 19 | Metz | 38 | -34 | 31 |
| 20 | Bordeaux | 38 | -39 | 31 |
Last Game: Clermont 1-2 Lyon
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Lens | 38 | 14 | 62 |
| 8 | Lyon | 38 | 15 | 61 |
| 9 | Nantes | 38 | 7 | 55 |
We said: Metz 1-2 Lyon
Whilst the hosts have had their moments going forward recently, their lack of defensive rigidity remains an issue. Metz may have slightly more to play for, but we are backing Les Gones to come out on top and keep their European hopes alive. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 65.56%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Metz had a probability of 14.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.52%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for a Metz win it was 1-0 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Metz | Draw | Lyon |
14.72% ( -0.06) | 19.72% ( -0.02) | 65.56% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 51.7% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
