

| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-Germain | 38 | 54 | 86 |
| 2 | Marseille | 38 | 25 | 71 |
| 3 | Monaco | 38 | 25 | 69 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Lens | 38 | 14 | 62 |
| 8 | Lyon | 38 | 15 | 61 |
| 9 | Nantes | 38 | 7 | 55 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 45.52%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Lyon win was 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Lyon |
| 45.52% | 24.87% | 29.61% |
| Both teams to score 55.88% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.9% | 47.1% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.67% | 69.34% |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.26% | 20.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.63% | 53.37% |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.5% | 29.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.49% | 65.51% |
| Score Analysis |
| Marseille | Draw | Lyon |
| 1-0 @ 9.63% 2-1 @ 9.24% 2-0 @ 7.57% 3-1 @ 4.85% 3-0 @ 3.97% 3-2 @ 2.96% 4-1 @ 1.91% 4-0 @ 1.56% 4-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.68% Total : 45.52% | 1-1 @ 11.75% 0-0 @ 6.12% 2-2 @ 5.64% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.87% | 0-1 @ 7.47% 1-2 @ 7.17% 0-2 @ 4.56% 1-3 @ 2.92% 2-3 @ 2.3% 0-3 @ 1.86% Other @ 3.34% Total : 29.61% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nice | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 22 |
| 2 | MonacoMonaco | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 20 |
| 3 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 18 |
| 4 | Reims | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 17 |
| 5 | Lille | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 15 |
| 6 | Brest | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 15 |
| 7 | NantesNantes | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 14 |
| 8 | Marseille | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Lens | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 | Rennes | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 11 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 11 |
| 12 | Le HavreLe Havre | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 | Lorient | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 10 |
| 15 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 8 |
| 16 | Metz | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 8 |
| 17 | Clermont | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 5 |
| 18 | Lyon | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 3 |
| > Ligue 1 Full Table | |||||||||
