Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-Germain | 38 | 54 | 86 |
2 | Marseille | 38 | 25 | 71 |
3 | Monaco | 38 | 25 | 69 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | Lyon | 38 | 15 | 61 |
9 | Nantes | 38 | 7 | 55 |
10 | Lille | 38 | 0 | 55 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 61.61%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 16.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.67%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Nantes |
61.61% | 22.08% | 16.31% |
Both teams to score 47.83% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.57% | 49.43% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.53% | 71.47% |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.46% | 15.54% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.53% | 44.47% |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.64% | 43.36% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.4% | 79.6% |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Nantes |
1-0 @ 12.54% 2-0 @ 11.67% 2-1 @ 9.76% 3-0 @ 7.25% 3-1 @ 6.06% 4-0 @ 3.37% 4-1 @ 2.82% 3-2 @ 2.53% 5-0 @ 1.26% 4-2 @ 1.18% 5-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.12% Total : 61.6% | 1-1 @ 10.48% 0-0 @ 6.74% 2-2 @ 4.08% Other @ 0.78% Total : 22.07% | 0-1 @ 5.63% 1-2 @ 4.38% 0-2 @ 2.35% 1-3 @ 1.22% 2-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.6% Total : 16.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 52 | 16 | 36 | 51 |
2 | Marseille | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 42 | 17 | 25 | 46 |
3 | Lens | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 33 | 15 | 18 | 45 |
4 | MonacoMonaco | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 46 | 29 | 17 | 41 |
5 | Rennes | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 40 | 22 | 18 | 40 |
6 | Lille | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 35 |
7 | Lorient | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 35 |
8 | Nice | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 31 |
9 | Clermont | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 30 |
10 | Lyon | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 29 |
11 | Reims | 21 | 6 | 11 | 4 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 29 |
12 | Toulouse | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 29 |
13 | NantesNantes | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 22 |
14 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 21 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 20 |
15 | Brest | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 19 |
16 | Troyes | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 19 |
17 | Ajaccio | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 18 |
18 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 21 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 15 |
19 | Auxerre | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 18 | 46 | -28 | 13 |
20 | Angers | 21 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 18 | 47 | -29 | 8 |
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