Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gaziantep win with a probability of 54.25%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 21.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gaziantep win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gaziantep would win this match.