Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 47.51%. A win for Braga had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Braga win was 0-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Braga |
47.51% (![]() | 24.94% (![]() | 27.55% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.25% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.42% (![]() | 48.58% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.29% (![]() | 70.7% (![]() |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.51% (![]() | 20.49% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.03% (![]() | 52.97% (![]() |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.23% (![]() | 31.77% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.8% (![]() | 68.2% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Braga |
1-0 @ 10.31% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.38% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.18% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.96% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.32% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.84% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.97% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.71% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.13% ( ![]() Other @ 2.71% Total : 47.5% | 1-1 @ 11.83% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.51% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.38% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.09% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.93% | 0-1 @ 7.46% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.78% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.28% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.59% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.06% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.64% ( ![]() Other @ 2.74% Total : 27.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | BoavistaBoavista | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
3 | Porto | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
4 | Benfica | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 9 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 9 |
6 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 6 |
8 | Casa Pia | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
9 | Braga | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 4 |
10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 |
12 | Vizela | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 |
13 | Estrela Amadora | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 3 |
15 | SC FarenseFarense | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 3 |
16 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 3 |
17 | PortimonensePortimonense | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 2 |
18 | ChavesChaves | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 0 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |