Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 57.74%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 19.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 0-1 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
57.74% (![]() | 23.01% (![]() | 19.25% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.47% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.23% (![]() | 48.77% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.13% (![]() | 70.87% (![]() |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.38% (![]() | 16.62% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.55% (![]() | 46.45% (![]() |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.53% (![]() | 39.47% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.84% (![]() | 76.16% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 11.77% 2-0 @ 10.56% 2-1 @ 9.82% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.32% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.87% 4-0 @ 2.84% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.73% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.64% 4-2 @ 1.23% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.02% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.01% Total : 57.74% | 1-1 @ 10.94% 0-0 @ 6.56% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.57% ( ![]() Other @ 0.94% Total : 23% | 0-1 @ 6.1% 1-2 @ 5.09% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.84% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.58% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.42% ( ![]() Other @ 2.24% Total : 19.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 88 | 27 | 61 | 82 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 84 | 28 | 56 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 65 | 30 | 35 | 71 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 66 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 57 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 54 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 47 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 48 | 53 | -5 | 46 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 45 |
10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 40 |
11 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 38 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 39 | 55 | -16 | 38 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 34 |
14 | Nacional | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 34 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 24 | 50 | -26 | 29 |
16 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 27 |
17 | AVS | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 25 | 60 | -35 | 27 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 24 | 59 | -35 | 24 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |