Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 68.37%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 12.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.9%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Gil Vicente |
68.37% (![]() | 18.74% (![]() | 12.89% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.96% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.94% (![]() | 42.05% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.54% (![]() | 64.46% (![]() |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.74% (![]() | 11.26% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.15% (![]() | 35.85% (![]() |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.3% (![]() | 43.7% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.12% (![]() | 79.87% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Gil Vicente |
2-0 @ 11.73% (![]() 1-0 @ 10.74% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.71% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 8.54% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.07% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 4.66% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.86% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.93% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.04% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.69% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.6% ( ![]() Other @ 3.79% Total : 68.36% | 1-1 @ 8.9% (![]() 0-0 @ 4.92% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.02% ( ![]() Other @ 0.91% Total : 18.74% | 0-1 @ 4.07% (![]() 1-2 @ 3.68% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.69% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.11% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.02% ( ![]() Other @ 1.32% Total : 12.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 26 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 67 | 14 | 53 | 71 |
2 | Porto | 26 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 56 | 17 | 39 | 61 |
3 | Braga | 26 | 19 | 2 | 5 | 56 | 23 | 33 | 59 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 54 |
5 | AroucaArouca | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 30 | 32 | -2 | 41 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 41 |
7 | Casa Pia | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 38 |
8 | Vizela | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 35 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 33 |
10 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 33 |
11 | ChavesChaves | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 32 |
12 | BoavistaBoavista | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 30 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 30 |
14 | PortimonensePortimonense | 26 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 26 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 25 |
16 | Maritimo | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 19 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 17 |
18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 26 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 41 | -24 | 15 |
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