| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Vizela | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Gil Vicente | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 | Santa Clara | 3 | -2 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Pacos de Ferreira | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| 17 | Famalicao | 2 | -5 | 0 |
| 18 | Maritimo | 3 | -10 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 57.11%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 18.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.55%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Famalicao |
| 57.11% ( | 24.45% ( | 18.44% ( |
| Both teams to score 45% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.62% ( | 55.38% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.42% ( | 76.59% ( |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.72% ( | 19.29% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.97% ( | 51.03% ( |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.75% ( | 44.25% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.67% ( | 80.33% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Famalicao |
| 1-0 @ 14.04% ( 2-0 @ 11.55% ( 2-1 @ 9.42% ( 3-0 @ 6.34% ( 3-1 @ 5.17% ( 4-0 @ 2.61% ( 4-1 @ 2.13% ( 3-2 @ 2.11% ( Other @ 3.73% Total : 57.09% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( 0-0 @ 8.53% ( 2-2 @ 3.84% ( Other @ 0.62% Total : 24.45% | 0-1 @ 6.96% ( 1-2 @ 4.67% ( 0-2 @ 2.84% ( 1-3 @ 1.27% ( 2-3 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 1.67% Total : 18.44% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 20 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 51 | 12 | 39 | 53 |
| 2 | Porto | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 45 | 11 | 34 | 45 |
| 3 | Braga | 19 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 43 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 39 | 19 | 20 | 38 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 33 |
| 6 | Casa Pia | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 30 |
| 7 | AroucaArouca | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 30 |
| 8 | ChavesChaves | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 26 |
| 9 | Vizela | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 25 |
| 10 | BoavistaBoavista | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 25 |
| 11 | PortimonensePortimonense | 20 | 7 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 23 |
| 12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 22 |
| 13 | Gil Vicente | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
| 14 | Rio AveRio Ave | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 21 |
| 15 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 21 |
| 16 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 15 |
| 17 | Maritimo | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 35 | -23 | 13 |
| 18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 36 | -24 | 9 |
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