Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
9 | Estoril Praia | 5 | 2 | 7 |
10 | Sporting Lisbon | 5 | 0 | 7 |
11 | Arouca | 5 | -8 | 7 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | Porto | 5 | 8 | 12 |
4 | Portimonense | 5 | 5 | 12 |
5 | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 6 | 0 | 9 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 71.38%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 11.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.23%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Portimonense |
71.38% (![]() | 17.36% (![]() | 11.25% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.5% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.06% (![]() | 39.93% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.7% (![]() | 62.29% (![]() |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.08% (![]() | 9.91% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.17% (![]() | 32.83% (![]() |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.94% (![]() | 45.06% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.02% (![]() | 80.98% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Portimonense |
2-0 @ 11.93% (![]() 1-0 @ 10.32% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.51% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 9.19% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.33% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 5.31% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.23% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.92% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.46% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.96% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.69% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 3.59% Total : 71.38% | 1-1 @ 8.23% (![]() 0-0 @ 4.47% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.79% ( ![]() Other @ 0.87% Total : 17.36% | 0-1 @ 3.56% (![]() 1-2 @ 3.28% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.42% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 1.98% Total : 11.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 23 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 58 | 13 | 45 | 62 |
2 | Porto | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 52 | 15 | 37 | 54 |
3 | Braga | 22 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 48 | 22 | 26 | 49 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 23 | 15 | 2 | 6 | 46 | 23 | 23 | 47 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 37 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 34 |
7 | Casa Pia | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 32 |
8 | BoavistaBoavista | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 30 |
9 | Vizela | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 29 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 27 |
11 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 27 |
12 | ChavesChaves | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 26 |
13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 23 | 8 | 2 | 13 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 26 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 22 |
16 | Maritimo | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 16 |
17 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 15 |
18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 22 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 40 | -24 | 12 |
> Full Version |