Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 64.41%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 15.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Chaves win it was 0-1 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.