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Championship header 2

League One
Blackpool
League One | Gameweek 28
Jan 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Bloomfield Road
Exeter City

Blackpool
2 - 0
Exeter

Morgan (39', 49')
Morgan (42'), Coulson (58'), Connolly (78'), Virtue (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hartridge (8'), Cole (27'), Sweeney (35'), Aitchison (41'), Diabate (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Blackpool and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Blackpool

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Blackpool 2-1 Burton Albion
Wednesday, January 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Exeter City

All competitions
Last Game: Exeter 2-1 Carlisle
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in League One

We said: Blackpool 3-1 Exeter City

 Although Exeter come into the game off the back of a victory, they have tended to struggle on the road this season, and we think that their poor away form will continue against a Blackpool side that have won each of their previous six competitive home matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 64.78%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 15.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a Exeter City win it was 0-1 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Blackpool in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Blackpool.

Result
BlackpoolDrawExeter City
64.78% (0.267 0.27) 19.83% (-0.118 -0.12) 15.38% (-0.155 -0.15)
Both teams to score 52.98% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.52% (0.223 0.22)41.47% (-0.229 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.12% (0.227 0.23)63.87% (-0.233 -0.23)
Blackpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.93% (0.13800000000001 0.14)12.06% (-0.144 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.43% (0.299 0.3)37.57% (-0.305 -0.31)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.24% (-0.07 -0.07)39.75% (0.062999999999995 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.57% (-0.061 -0.06)76.42% (0.056000000000012 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Blackpool 64.78%
    Exeter City 15.38%
    Draw 19.83%
BlackpoolDrawExeter City
2-0 @ 10.72% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 10.14% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.56% (0.05 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.98% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
4-0 @ 4% (0.049 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.69% (0.039 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.22% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.7% (0.015 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.69% (0.03 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.56% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 64.78%
1-1 @ 9.35% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.79% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 19.83%
0-1 @ 4.42% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-2 @ 4.31% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-2 @ 2.04% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.33% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 15.38%

How you voted: Blackpool vs Exeter

Blackpool
100%
Draw
0.0%
Exeter City
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Exeter
0-0
Blackpool
Carroll (14'), Caldwell (15'), Scott (82')
Hamilton (51')
> Preview
Nov 10, 2018 3pm
First Round
Exeter
2-3
Blackpool
Tillson (69'), Abrahams (90')
Tillson (81')
Dodoo (2'), Cullen (19'), Pritchard (24')
Dodoo (72')
May 28, 2017 3pm
Final
Blackpool
2-1
Exeter
Potts (3'), Cullen (65')
Cullen (58'), Osayi-Samuel (66'), Slocombe (92'), Flores (93'), Daniel (95')
Wheeler (40')
> Match Report
Feb 25, 2017 3pm
Exeter
2-2
Blackpool
Watkins (45'), Reid (91')
Brown (28'), Taylor (57')
Daniel (18'), Potts (39')
Matt (45'), Daniel (47'), Flores (55'), Black (69')
Aug 6, 2016 3pm
Blackpool
2-0
Exeter
Vassell (19'), Brown (52' og.)
Pugh (36')

Woodman (35'), Brown (45'), Harley (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030
> League One Full Table


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