

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 53.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.75%) and 0-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Exeter City win it was 1-0 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 22.4% ( | 23.8% ( | 53.8% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.65% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.8% ( | 48.2% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.65% ( | 70.35% ( |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.07% ( | 35.93% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.29% ( | 72.7% ( |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.17% ( | 17.83% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.42% ( | 48.57% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Exeter City | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 1-0 @ 6.56% ( 2-1 @ 5.79% ( 2-0 @ 3.36% ( 3-1 @ 1.98% ( 3-2 @ 1.7% 3-0 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 1.87% Total : 22.4% | 1-1 @ 11.3% ( 0-0 @ 6.41% ( 2-2 @ 4.99% ( 3-3 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.79% | 0-1 @ 11.04% ( 1-2 @ 9.75% ( 0-2 @ 9.52% ( 1-3 @ 5.6% ( 0-3 @ 5.47% ( 2-3 @ 2.87% ( 1-4 @ 2.42% ( 0-4 @ 2.36% ( 2-4 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 3.53% Total : 53.79% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Portsmouth | 46 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 78 | 41 | 37 | 97 |
| P | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 92 |
| 3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 86 | 51 | 35 | 87 |
| 4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 89 | 61 | 28 | 84 |
| 5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 79 | 56 | 23 | 77 |
| 6 | Barnsley | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 82 | 64 | 18 | 76 |
| 7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 65 | 40 | 25 | 74 |
| 8 | Blackpool | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 73 |
| 9 | Stevenage | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 71 |
| 10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 65 |
| 11 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 65 |
| 12 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 62 |
| 13 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 61 |
| 14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 60 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 57 |
| 16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 11 | 20 | 15 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 53 |
| 17 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 53 |
| 18 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 48 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 67 | -32 | 48 |
| 20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 46 |
| R | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 12 | 8 | 26 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 44 |
| R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 49 | 72 | -23 | 43 |
| R | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 41 |
| R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 41 | 81 | -40 | 30 |
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