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League One | Gameweek 21
Dec 11, 2023 at 8pm UK
Fratton Park
Bolton logo
Portsmouth
2 - 0
Bolton
Shaughnessy (45'), Yengi (88')
Robertson (10'), Sparkes (35'), Rafferty (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Thomason (14'), Sheehan (74'), Mendes Gomes (90+2'), Jones (90+5')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Portsmouth and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Portsmouth 0-1 Bolton Wanderers

Losing their leading marksman before the visit of a Bolton side who have been near-unbreakable in recent games was not on Portsmouth's bingo card, although their extended recuperation period should at least play its part for the hosts. However, given Pompey's recent shortcomings at Fratton Park, Evatt's side have every right to be confident of keeping their hosts at bay, and the effective Adeboyejo-Charles pairing need just one gilt-edged chance to put another twist in the title tale. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 36.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
PortsmouthDrawBolton Wanderers
36.3% (0.107 0.11) 25.09% (0.094000000000001 0.09) 38.61% (-0.20200000000001 -0.2)
Both teams to score 57.4% (-0.336 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.89% (-0.437 -0.44)46.1% (0.435 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.59% (-0.415 -0.41)68.4% (0.411 0.41)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.14% (-0.143 -0.14)24.85% (0.141 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.54% (-0.19900000000001 -0.2)59.45% (0.198 0.2)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.38% (-0.30300000000001 -0.3)23.61% (0.3 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.3% (-0.436 -0.44)57.69% (0.435 0.44)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 36.3%
    Bolton Wanderers 38.61%
    Draw 25.09%
PortsmouthDrawBolton Wanderers
2-1 @ 8.21% (0.012 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.17% (0.117 0.12)
2-0 @ 5.69% (0.059 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.64% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.33% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-0 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 36.3%
1-1 @ 11.79% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.92% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.87% (0.107 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.09%
1-2 @ 8.51% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
0-1 @ 8.47% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
0-2 @ 6.11% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.1% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.94% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.85% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.48% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.06% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.03% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 38.61%

How you voted: Portsmouth vs Bolton

Portsmouth
35.1%
Draw
8.1%
Bolton Wanderers
56.8%
74
Head to Head
Feb 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Portsmouth
3-1
Bolton
Towler (73', 84'), Bishop (87')
Charles (48')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Bolton
3-0
Portsmouth
Charles (15'), Lee (48'), Toal (71')
Jan 10, 2023 7.45pm
Apr 5, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 40
Bolton
1-1
Portsmouth
Sadlier (76' pen.)
Dempsey (38'), Aimson (49')
O'Brien (50')
(77')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Result
Draper
Lehecka
6 4 3
4 6 6
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Portsmouth27158442251753
2Peterborough UnitedPeterborough26157452282452
3Bolton WanderersBolton24163545242151
4Derby CountyDerby25154647242349
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd26154745301549
6Barnsley25137548291946
7Stevenage26137638251346
8Blackpool27126944321242
9Northampton TownNorthampton26114113234-237
10Leyton Orient269892831-335
11Bristol Rovers259793535034
12Lincoln CityLincoln2789103030033
13Port Vale2687112838-1031
14Charlton AthleticCharlton2679104039130
15Wycombe WanderersWycombe2679103035-530
16Cambridge UnitedCambridge2586112333-1030
17Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2793151737-2030
18Wigan AthleticWigan26106103631528
19Burton Albion2677122135-1428
20Exeter CityExeter2675141839-2126
21Reading2677123441-724
22Cheltenham TownCheltenham2565141934-1523
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2748152241-1920
24Fleetwood TownFleetwood2646162347-2418

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