Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 38.92%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Portsmouth in this match.
