Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 54.6%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for West Ham United had a probability of 22.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a West Ham United win it was 0-1 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.