Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 38.33%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 36% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Rennes win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rennes | Draw | Nice |
| 36% ( | 25.66% ( | 38.33% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.37% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.29% ( | 48.71% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.18% ( | 70.82% ( |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.76% ( | 26.23% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.66% ( | 61.34% ( |
| Nice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.06% ( | 24.94% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.42% ( | 59.57% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rennes | Draw | Nice |
| 1-0 @ 8.75% ( 2-1 @ 8.13% ( 2-0 @ 5.86% ( 3-1 @ 3.63% ( 3-0 @ 2.61% ( 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 4-1 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 3.29% Total : 36% | 1-1 @ 12.15% 0-0 @ 6.54% ( 2-2 @ 5.65% ( 3-3 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.65% | 0-1 @ 9.09% ( 1-2 @ 8.44% ( 0-2 @ 6.31% ( 1-3 @ 3.91% ( 0-3 @ 2.92% ( 2-3 @ 2.62% 1-4 @ 1.36% ( 0-4 @ 1.01% ( 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.77% Total : 38.33% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 33 | 52 | 78 |
| 2 | Marseille | 32 | 18 | 5 | 9 | 67 | 44 | 23 | 59 |
| 3 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 58 |
| 4 | Nice | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 60 | 39 | 21 | 57 |
| 5 | Lille | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 50 | 33 | 17 | 57 |
| 6 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 53 | 39 | 14 | 57 |
| 7 | Lyon | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 54 |
| 8 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 48 |
| 9 | Brest | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 50 | 53 | -3 | 47 |
| 10 | Auxerre | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 41 |
| 11 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 2 | 18 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 38 |
| 12 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 38 |
| 13 | Reims | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 33 |
| 14 | Angers | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 30 | 50 | -20 | 33 |
| 15 | NantesNantes | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 32 |
| 16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 9 | 4 | 19 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 31 |
| 17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 32 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 35 | 74 | -39 | 27 |
| 18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 72 | -50 | 16 |
| > Ligue 1 Full Table | |||||||||
