Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Lens had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Lens win was 0-1 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.
Result | ||
Nice | Draw | Lens |
42.92% (![]() | 27.76% | 29.32% |
Both teams to score 46.89% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.37% | 58.63% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.82% | 79.18% (![]() |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.95% (![]() | 27.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.58% (![]() | 62.42% (![]() |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.27% | 35.73% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.5% | 72.5% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Nice | Draw | Lens |
1-0 @ 12.63% 2-1 @ 8.5% 2-0 @ 8.26% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.71% 3-0 @ 3.6% 3-2 @ 1.91% 4-1 @ 1.21% 4-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.92% Total : 42.92% | 1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 9.66% 2-2 @ 4.38% Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.75% | 0-1 @ 9.95% 1-2 @ 6.69% 0-2 @ 5.12% 1-3 @ 2.3% 0-3 @ 1.76% 2-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.01% Total : 29.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 77 | 32 | 45 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
11 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |