Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 45.15%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Rennes |
45.15% (![]() | 24.86% (![]() | 29.99% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.13% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.14% (![]() | 46.86% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.89% (![]() | 69.11% (![]() |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.19% (![]() | 20.81% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.52% (![]() | 53.48% (![]() |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.88% (![]() | 29.12% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.96% (![]() | 65.04% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Marseille | Draw | Rennes |
1-0 @ 9.51% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.21% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.47% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.82% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.91% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.97% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.89% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.53% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.17% ( ![]() Other @ 2.67% Total : 45.15% | 1-1 @ 11.73% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.06% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.68% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.22% ( ![]() Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.86% | 0-1 @ 7.48% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.24% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.61% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.98% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.34% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.9% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 2.53% Total : 29.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 35 | 57 | 84 |
2 | Marseille | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 74 | 47 | 27 | 65 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 61 |
4 | Nice | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 66 | 41 | 25 | 60 |
5 | Lille | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 52 | 36 | 16 | 60 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 57 |
7 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 56 | 44 | 12 | 57 |
8 | Lens | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 42 | 39 | 3 | 52 |
9 | Brest | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 50 |
10 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 42 |
11 | Auxerre | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 42 |
12 | Rennes | 34 | 13 | 2 | 19 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 41 |
13 | NantesNantes | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 52 | -13 | 36 |
14 | Angers | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 36 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 40 | 71 | -31 | 34 |
16 | Reims | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 33 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 39 | 77 | -38 | 30 |
R | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 23 | 79 | -56 | 16 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |