

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 40.82%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Strasbourg | Draw | Marseille | 
| 32.39% (  -0.29) | 26.78% (  -0.1) | 40.82% (  0.39) | 
| Both teams to score 50.98% (  0.21) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 45.99% (  0.31) | 54% (  -0.31) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 24.56% (  0.26) | 75.44% (  -0.26) | 
| Strasbourg Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 68.92% (  -0.04) | 31.08% (  0.04) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.6% (  -0.05) | 67.4% (  0.05) | 
| Marseille Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 73.97% (  0.35) | 26.02% (  -0.35) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.94% (  0.47) | 61.06% (  -0.47) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Strasbourg | Draw | Marseille | 
| 1-0 @ 9.45% (  -0.13) 2-1 @ 7.43% (  -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.52% (  -0.08) 3-1 @ 2.9% (  -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.15% (  -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.95% (  0.01) Other @ 2.99% Total : 32.39% | 1-1 @ 12.72% (  -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.09% (  -0.1) 2-2 @ 5% (  0.03) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.78% | 0-1 @ 10.88% (  -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.56% (  0.06) 0-2 @ 7.33% (  0.06) 1-3 @ 3.84% (  0.06) 0-3 @ 3.29% (  0.06) 2-3 @ 2.25% (  0.04) 1-4 @ 1.29% (  0.03) 0-4 @ 1.11% (  0.03) Other @ 2.26% Total : 40.81% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 77 | 32 | 45 | 70 | 
| 2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 | 
| 3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 | 
| 4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 | 
| 5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 | 
| 6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 | 
| 7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 | 
| 8 | Marseille | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 47 | 
| 9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 | 
| 10 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 | 
| 11 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 | 
| 12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 | 
| 13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 | 
| 14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 | 
| 15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 | 
| 16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 | 
| 17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 | 
| R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 | 
| > Ligue 1 Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
