MX23RW : Friday, November 10 02:01:29| >> :120:6785:6785:
AEK Athens
Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 9, 2023 at 8pm UK
OPAP Arena
Marseille
AEK Athens
0 - 2
Marseille

Gacinovic (28'), Ponce (66')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mbemba (25'), Sarr (90+3')
Oliveira (45+3')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between AEK Athens and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kifisia 1-1 AEK Athens
Saturday, November 4 at 6pm in Greek Superleague

We said: AEK Athens 0-1 Marseille

High-scoring, end-to-end encounters have been commonplace in Europa League Group E so far, but we can envisage a more low-key affair in Athens, particularly given Marseille's troubles in the final third domestically. Almeyda's side do not tend to concede many goals either, but with several attacking stars primed to make an impact off the bench, we expect Gattuso's men to make the long journey worthwhile. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AEK Athens win with a probability of 39.4%. A win for Marseille has a probability of 35.63% and a draw has a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Marseille win is 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.71%).

Result
AEK AthensDrawMarseille
39.4% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05) 24.97% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 35.63% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Both teams to score 57.75% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.38% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)45.61% (0.026999999999994 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.06% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)67.94% (0.024999999999991 0.02)
AEK Athens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.01% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)22.99% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.21% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)56.79% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.99% (0.012 0.01)25% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.34% (0.017000000000003 0.02)59.66% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    AEK Athens 39.4%
    Marseille 35.63%
    Draw 24.96%
AEK AthensDrawMarseille
2-1 @ 8.61% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.45%
2-0 @ 6.21% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.22% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.04% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 39.4%
1-1 @ 11.71% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.97% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 5.75% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.96%
1-2 @ 8.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.97% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.52% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.75% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-3 @ 2.76%
0-3 @ 2.55% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.3% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 35.63%

How you voted: AEK Athens vs Marseille

AEK Athens
25.0%
Draw
14.5%
Marseille
60.5%
76
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2023 5.45pm
Group Stage
Marseille
3-1
AEK Athens
Oliveira (27'), Harit (60' pen.), Veretout (69' pen.)
Balerdi (26'), Clauss (32')
Pineda (53')
Sidibe (11'), Rota (45+4'), Amrabat (68'), Jonsson (83')
Stankovic (57')
rhs 2.0
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