Serie A | Gameweek 12
Nov 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale
Genoa1 - 0Hellas Verona
We said: Genoa 2-1 Hellas Verona
A closely-fought contest between two evenly-matched teams who are both desperate to return to winning ways could be on the cards on Friday. Three of the last four meetings between these two clubs have ended as a draw, but we believe that Genoa will do just enough to claim maximum points against a defensively-vulnerable Verona outfit. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 56.44%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 18.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.92%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Genoa in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Genoa.
| Result | ||
| Genoa | Draw | Hellas Verona |
56.44% ( 0.09) | 25.36% ( -0.04) | 18.21% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 42.28% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
