MX23RW : Monday, April 28 19:19:07| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 15
May 2, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Defensor

Nacional
P-P
Defensor

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Defensor Sporting.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nacional 3-1 Wanderers
Sunday, April 27 at 12.15am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Defensor 1-2 Progreso
Sunday, April 20 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Next Game: Torque vs. Defensor
Sunday, April 27 at 2.45pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 52.66%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 22.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Defensor Sporting win it was 0-1 (7.3%).

Result
NacionalDrawDefensor Sporting
52.66% (2.817 2.82) 24.86% (-0.987 -0.99) 22.48% (-1.827 -1.83)
Both teams to score 49.53% (0.87 0.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.62% (2.158 2.16)52.38% (-2.155 -2.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.93% (1.824 1.82)74.07% (-1.821 -1.82)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.13% (2.052 2.05)19.87% (-2.049 -2.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.02% (3.208 3.21)51.98% (-3.205 -3.21)
Defensor Sporting Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.81% (-0.50700000000001 -0.51)38.19% (0.51 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.04% (-0.492 -0.49)74.96% (0.495 0.5)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 52.66%
    Defensor Sporting 22.48%
    Draw 24.85%
NacionalDrawDefensor Sporting
1-0 @ 12.26% (-0.27 -0.27)
2-0 @ 9.91% (0.394 0.39)
2-1 @ 9.54% (0.251 0.25)
3-0 @ 5.34% (0.524 0.52)
3-1 @ 5.14% (0.439 0.44)
3-2 @ 2.47% (0.179 0.18)
4-0 @ 2.16% (0.329 0.33)
4-1 @ 2.08% (0.293 0.29)
4-2 @ 1% (0.129 0.13)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 52.66%
1-1 @ 11.8% (-0.43 -0.43)
0-0 @ 7.59% (-0.671 -0.67)
2-2 @ 4.59% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 24.85%
0-1 @ 7.3% (-0.756 -0.76)
1-2 @ 5.68% (-0.289 -0.29)
0-2 @ 3.52% (-0.418 -0.42)
1-3 @ 1.82% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.13% (-0.152 -0.15)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 22.48%

Head to Head
Sep 21, 2024 11pm
Gameweek 4
Nacional
1-1
Defensor
Polenta (67')
Polenta (74')
Spinelli (26')
De Los Santos (68'), Alvarez (83'), Dawson (90+5')
Mar 10, 2024 10.30pm
Gameweek 4
Defensor
3-3
Nacional
Rivero (22'), Mansilla (52'), Duarte (54')
Bernal (24'), Mansilla (52'), Cuello (54'), Elizari (72'), De Los Santos (90+4')
Pereyra (10'), Carneiro (59' pen.), Santander (86')
Oliva (81'), Santander (88')
Dec 4, 2023 11.30pm
Gameweek 14
Nacional
1-0
Defensor
Rodriguez (81')
Lozano (33'), Chagas (45'), Chagas (45+1'), Rodriguez (74')
Rodriguez (82')

Martinez (29'), De Los Santos (44'), Bernal (65')
May 7, 2023 10pm
Gameweek 14
Defensor
2-2
Nacional
Candido (38' og.), Barcia (70')
Fagundez (17'), Ramirez (53' pen.)
Oct 8, 2022 11.30pm
Gameweek 12
Nacional
1-1
Defensor
Trezza (34')
Elizari (46')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LiverpoolLiverpool138502181329
2NacionalNacional1374229151425
3Defensor SportingDefensor13733169724
4Juventud137332014624
5Racing de MontevideoRacing12624128420
6Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia13544119219
7PenarolPenarol125341515018
8Boston RiverBoston River135351517-218
9Cerro Largo124531213-117
10Montevideo City TorqueTorque134541317-417
11CerroCerro123541213-114
12ProgresoProgreso132651323-1012
13River PlateRiver Plate132471016-610
14Montevideo WanderersWanderers131661116-59
15DanubioDanubio130851016-68
16Miramar Misiones132291223-118


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