MX23RW : Monday, April 28 18:49:42| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 14
May 3, 2025 at 9.30pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
vs.
Cerro

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Cerro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Defensor 3-2 Cerro
Monday, April 14 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Next Game: Cerro vs. Torque
Sunday, April 20 at 9.15pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 2-0 Danubio
Sunday, April 13 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Next Game: Miramar Misiones vs. Nacional
Friday, April 18 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 58.82%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 17.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.89%) and 1-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Cerro win it was 1-0 (6.58%).

Result
CerroDrawNacional
17.36% (-0.674 -0.67) 23.82% (-0.136 -0.14) 58.82% (0.812 0.81)
Both teams to score 44.87% (-0.803 -0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.47% (-0.421 -0.42)54.52% (0.424 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.12% (-0.351 -0.35)75.88% (0.354 0.35)
Cerro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.94% (-1.079 -1.08)45.06% (1.083 1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.02% (-0.872 -0.87)80.98% (0.876 0.88)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.68% (0.143 0.14)18.32% (-0.141 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.59% (0.242 0.24)49.41% (-0.24 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Cerro 17.36%
    Nacional 58.82%
    Draw 23.81%
CerroDrawNacional
1-0 @ 6.58% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-1 @ 4.45% (-0.177 -0.18)
2-0 @ 2.62% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-1 @ 1.18% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 17.36%
1-1 @ 11.16% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 8.25% (0.135 0.14)
2-2 @ 3.78% (-0.131 -0.13)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 23.81%
0-1 @ 14.01% (0.3 0.3)
0-2 @ 11.89% (0.31 0.31)
1-2 @ 9.48% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 6.73% (0.201 0.2)
1-3 @ 5.36% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-4 @ 2.85% (0.098 0.1)
1-4 @ 2.28% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.14% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-5 @ 0.97% (0.038 0.04)
2-4 @ 0.91% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 58.82%

Who will win Friday's Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro and Nacional?

Cerro
Draw
Nacional
Cerro
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Nacional
0.0%
0
Head to Head
Nov 2, 2024 10pm
Gameweek 10
Nacional
2-0
Cerro
Galeano (45+1'), Lopez (55')
Castro (31')

Triunfo (54'), Macelli (84')
Jun 9, 2024 10pm
Gameweek 1
Cerro
3-0
Nacional
Ramirez (14'), Petillo Mediza (84'), Gonzalez (88')
Berrios (76')
Abero (29')

Santander (65'), Izquierdo (67'), Castro (69')
Apr 28, 2024 10pm
Gameweek 10
Cerro
1-2
Nacional
Macelli (61')
Abero (36'), Rodriguez (90+6')
Carneiro (40' pen.), Oliva (70')
Antoni (60'), Oliva (75')
Oct 15, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 5
Nacional
2-1
Cerro
Rodriguez (17'), Gigliotti (70')
Lozano (10'), Martinez (33')
Rodriguez (12')
Rodriguez (25'), Coronel (31'), Tizon (43'), Abero (51'), Fernandez (67')
Jun 3, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 1
Cerro
1-1
Nacional
Nandin (1')
Perez (45+1'), Denis (83'), Souza (90+3')
Pereiro (79')
Rodriguez (18'), Pereiro (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LiverpoolLiverpool138502181329
2NacionalNacional1374229151425
3Defensor SportingDefensor13733169724
4Juventud137332014624
5Racing de MontevideoRacing12624128420
6Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia13544119219
7PenarolPenarol125341515018
8Boston RiverBoston River135351517-218
9Cerro Largo124531213-117
10Montevideo City TorqueTorque134541317-417
11CerroCerro123541213-114
12ProgresoProgreso132651323-1012
13River PlateRiver Plate132471016-610
14Montevideo WanderersWanderers131661116-59
15DanubioDanubio130851016-68
16Miramar Misiones132291223-118


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