MX23RW : Saturday, April 26 00:37:08| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 10
Apr 28, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio Centenario

Cerro
1 - 2
Nacional

Macelli (61')
Abero (36'), Rodriguez (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Carneiro (40' pen.), Oliva (70')
Antoni (60'), Oliva (75')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Racing 1-1 Cerro
Friday, April 19 at 5.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 2-1 Tachira
Wednesday, April 24 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 41.95%. A win for Cerro had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Cerro win was 1-0 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
CerroDrawNacional
29.83% (0.0089999999999968 0.01) 28.21% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 41.95% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Both teams to score 45.87% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.97% (-0.020999999999994 -0.02)60.03% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.74% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)80.26% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Cerro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.91% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)36.08% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)72.87% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.76% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)28.23% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.06% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)63.94% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Cerro 29.83%
    Nacional 41.95%
    Draw 28.2%
CerroDrawNacional
1-0 @ 10.38% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.69%
2-0 @ 5.29% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 2.27%
3-0 @ 1.8% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.44% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 29.83%
1-1 @ 13.13%
0-0 @ 10.18%
2-2 @ 4.23% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.2%
0-1 @ 12.88%
1-2 @ 8.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 8.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 3.43% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.11% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 41.95%

Head to Head
Oct 15, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 5
Nacional
2-1
Cerro
Rodriguez (17'), Gigliotti (70')
Lozano (10'), Martinez (33')
Rodriguez (12')
Rodriguez (25'), Coronel (31'), Tizon (43'), Abero (51'), Fernandez (67')
Jun 3, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 1
Cerro
1-1
Nacional
Nandin (1')
Perez (45+1'), Denis (83'), Souza (90+3')
Pereiro (79')
Rodriguez (18'), Pereiro (79')
Mar 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 5
Cerro
2-2
Nacional
Rodriguez (19'), Abero (67')
Trezza (11'), Pereiro (70')
Feb 27, 2021 10.30pm
Gameweek 10
Cerro
0-1
Nacional

Garcia (43'), Cabrera (71'), Bentaberry (75')
Bergessio (51')
Martinez (20'), Trezza (32'), Mendez (48'), Rochet (75'), Ocampo (76')
Sep 7, 2020 12.15am
Gameweek 10
Nacional
5-1
Cerro
Rodriguez (25', 77'), Garcia (50'), Vecino (66' pen.), Cartagena (90+2')
Cabrera (36' pen.)
Garcia (42'), Hernandez (50')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LiverpoolLiverpool127501981126
2Juventud127232014623
3NacionalNacional1264226141222
4Defensor SportingDefensor12633159621
5Racing de MontevideoRacing12624128420
6Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia12534119218
7PenarolPenarol125341515018
8Cerro Largo124531213-117
9Montevideo City TorqueTorque124531316-317
10Boston RiverBoston River124351317-415
11CerroCerro123541213-114
12ProgresoProgreso122641321-812
13Montevideo WanderersWanderers121651013-39
14DanubioDanubio120841015-58
15Miramar Misiones122281221-98
16River PlateRiver Plate12147916-77


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