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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
MK Dons
League Two | Gameweek 45
Apr 26, 2025 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Grimsby Town

MK Dons
0 - 0
Grimsby Town


Hendry (85')
FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between MK Dons and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crewe 0-1 MK Dons
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Port Vale 2-2 Grimsby Town
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in League Two

We said: MK Dons 0-1 Grimsby Town

While Grimsby have only won once in all four visits to MK Dons, their greater urgency in the playoff race could see them edge this encounter, especially with the hosts showing more defensive discipline of late, which may keep the scoreline tight. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 42.41%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
MK DonsDrawGrimsby Town
42.41% (0.489 0.49) 25.71% (0.017999999999997 0.02) 31.88% (-0.505 -0.5)
Both teams to score 54.21% (-0.244 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.23% (-0.233 -0.23)49.77% (0.235 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.22% (-0.209 -0.21)71.77% (0.211 0.21)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.68% (0.13800000000001 0.14)23.32% (-0.135 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.73% (0.2 0.2)57.27% (-0.197 -0.2)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.7% (-0.444 -0.44)29.3% (0.448 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.73% (-0.552 -0.55)65.27% (0.55500000000001 0.56)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 42.41%
    Grimsby Town 31.88%
    Draw 25.71%
MK DonsDrawGrimsby Town
1-0 @ 9.95% (0.135 0.14)
2-1 @ 8.89% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.24% (0.126 0.13)
3-1 @ 4.31% (0.04 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.51% (0.075 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.57% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.28% (0.032 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 42.41%
1-1 @ 12.21% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.83% (0.065 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.46% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.71%
0-1 @ 8.39% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.5% (-0.086 -0.09)
0-2 @ 5.15% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.07% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.11% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 31.88%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Grimsby Town

MK Dons
23.1%
Draw
7.7%
Grimsby Town
69.2%
13
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 14
Grimsby Town
1-3
MK Dons
Rose (16')
Warren (88'), Hume (90+2')
Gilbey (49'), Hogan (53'), Lemonheigh-Evans (90+5')
Gilbey (65'), Lemonheigh-Evans (90+1'), Harrison (90+4')
Mar 12, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Grimsby Town
1-0
MK Dons
Obikwu (33')
Gnahoua (9'), Mullarkey (16'), Holohan (44'), Hume (73'), Thompson (90')
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
MK Dons
1-1
Grimsby Town
Payne (66')
Williams (45+7')
Pyke (20')
Conteh (64'), Ainley (85'), Wilson (90')
Jan 26, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 30
Grimsby Town
1-0
MK Dons
Thomas (27')
Ohman (25'), Whitmore (64')
Davis (41')

Gilbey (45'), Cargill (61')
Nov 10, 2018 3pm
First Round
Grimsby Town
3-1
MK Dons
Embleton (50'), Thomas (61'), Vernam (73')
Welsh (90')
Agard (23')
Houghton (57'), Williams (73'), Walsh (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Doncaster RoversDoncaster4523121071492281
2Port Vale452214965452080
3Bradford CityBradford4521121263451875
4Walsall4520141174542074
5Notts County4520121367472072
6AFC Wimbledon4519131355352070
7Salford City4518141362521068
8Grimsby Town45208176166-568
9Chesterfield4518131472541867
10Colchester UnitedColchester451618115247566
11Bromley451615146159263
12Crewe AlexandraCrewe451517134947262
13Swindon TownSwindon451516147163861
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood451515156059160
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham451612176067-760
16BarrowBarrow451513175250258
17Gillingham451316164046-655
18MK Dons45149225266-1451
19Accrington StanleyAccrington451214195368-1550
20Harrogate TownHarrogate451311214160-1950
21Newport CountyNewport451310225172-2149
22Tranmere RoversTranmere451115194164-2348
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle451011244269-2741
24Morecambe45106293970-3136


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