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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Port Vale
League Two | Gameweek 44
Apr 21, 2025 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Grimsby Town

Port Vale
2 - 2
Grimsby Town

Tolaj (78'), Debrah (90+5')
Clark (26')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rose (24', 52' pen.)
Svanthorsson (40'), McEachran (62'), Rodgers (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Port Vale and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Carlisle 3-2 Port Vale
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 0-4 Swindon
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Port Vale 2-0 Grimsby Town

With both sides desperate for much-needed points, we can only envisage a fiercely contested match, but with Port Vale being the favourites and considering the quality within their ranks, we reckon the hosts will earn a 2-0 win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 46.37%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 27.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Port ValeDrawGrimsby Town
46.37% (-0.417 -0.42) 26.3% (0.104 0.1) 27.32% (0.308 0.31)
Both teams to score 49.87% (-0.080000000000005 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.78% (-0.217 -0.22)54.22% (0.212 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.37% (-0.18 -0.18)75.62% (0.17699999999999 0.18)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.65% (-0.286 -0.29)23.35% (0.283 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.69% (-0.41699999999999 -0.42)57.31% (0.41399999999999 0.41)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.06% (0.13499999999999 0.13)34.93% (-0.139 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.32% (0.144 0.14)71.67% (-0.148 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 46.37%
    Grimsby Town 27.32%
    Draw 26.29%
Port ValeDrawGrimsby Town
1-0 @ 11.86%
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 8.63% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.4% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.18% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.6% (-0.035 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.52% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 46.37%
1-1 @ 12.47% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.16% (0.068 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.29%
0-1 @ 8.58% (0.103 0.1)
1-2 @ 6.56% (0.049 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.51% (0.071 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.3% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.67% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.58% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 27.32%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Grimsby Town

Port Vale
83.3%
Draw
8.3%
Grimsby Town
8.3%
12
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 23
Grimsby Town
3-0
Port Vale
McJannett (29'), Tharme (82'), Svanthorsson (90+2')
Artell (16'), Davies (71')

Debrah (15')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 45
Grimsby Town
1-0
Port Vale
Green (32')
Green (45')

Legge (54'), Montano (83')
Montano (87')
Jan 9, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 23
Port Vale
3-0
Grimsby Town
Brisley (8'), Rodney (15'), Waterfall (60' og.)
Joyce (11'), Brisley (69')

Wright (86')
Apr 10, 2020 3pm
Aug 24, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 5
Grimsby Town
5-2
Port Vale
Cook (20'), Ogbu (51'), Green (57'), Waterfall (80'), Hanson (86')
Whitehouse (72'), Hewitt (90')
Whitehouse (13' og.), Smith (62')
Worrall (55'), Joyce (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Doncaster RoversDoncaster4422121069482178
2Port Vale442114963451877
3Bradford CityBradford4421121162431975
4Walsall4420141074532174
5AFC Wimbledon4419131255332270
6Notts County4419121364461869
7Grimsby Town44207176166-567
8Colchester UnitedColchester441618105143866
9Salford City441714135851765
10Chesterfield4417131468531564
11Crewe AlexandraCrewe441517124945462
12Bromley441614145856262
13Swindon TownSwindon441515147062860
14BarrowBarrow441512174947257
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood441415155859-157
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham441512175765-857
17Gillingham441315163945-654
18MK Dons44148225266-1450
19Harrogate TownHarrogate441311204057-1750
20Newport CountyNewport441310215170-1949
21Accrington StanleyAccrington441114195268-1647
22Tranmere RoversTranmere441015193964-2545
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle441011234066-2641
24Morecambe44106283866-2836


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