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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 37.76%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 34.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Carlisle United | Draw | Port Vale |
34.65% (![]() | 27.59% (![]() | 37.76% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.96% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.22% (![]() | 56.78% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.28% (![]() | 77.72% (![]() |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.01% (![]() | 30.99% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.71% (![]() | 67.29% (![]() |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.94% (![]() | 29.06% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.03% (![]() | 64.97% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Carlisle United | Draw | Port Vale |
1-0 @ 10.54% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.64% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.18% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.98% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.41% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.84% ( ![]() Other @ 3.04% Total : 34.64% | 1-1 @ 13.03% (![]() 0-0 @ 9% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.72% ( ![]() Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.59% | 0-1 @ 11.12% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.06% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.88% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.32% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.83% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.94% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.03% ( ![]() Other @ 2.58% Total : 37.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 44 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 69 | 48 | 21 | 78 |
2 | Port Vale | 44 | 21 | 14 | 9 | 63 | 45 | 18 | 77 |
3 | Bradford CityBradford | 44 | 21 | 12 | 11 | 62 | 43 | 19 | 75 |
4 | Walsall | 44 | 20 | 14 | 10 | 74 | 53 | 21 | 74 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 44 | 19 | 13 | 12 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 70 |
6 | Notts County | 44 | 19 | 12 | 13 | 64 | 46 | 18 | 69 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 44 | 20 | 7 | 17 | 61 | 66 | -5 | 67 |
8 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 44 | 16 | 18 | 10 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 66 |
9 | Salford City | 44 | 17 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 65 |
10 | Chesterfield | 44 | 17 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 53 | 15 | 64 |
11 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 44 | 15 | 17 | 12 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 62 |
12 | Bromley | 44 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 58 | 56 | 2 | 62 |
13 | Swindon TownSwindon | 44 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 70 | 62 | 8 | 60 |
14 | BarrowBarrow | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 57 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 44 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 58 | 59 | -1 | 57 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 44 | 15 | 12 | 17 | 57 | 65 | -8 | 57 |
17 | Gillingham | 44 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 54 |
18 | MK Dons | 44 | 14 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 66 | -14 | 50 |
19 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 44 | 13 | 11 | 20 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 50 |
20 | Newport CountyNewport | 44 | 13 | 10 | 21 | 51 | 70 | -19 | 49 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 44 | 11 | 14 | 19 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 47 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 44 | 10 | 15 | 19 | 39 | 64 | -25 | 45 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 44 | 10 | 11 | 23 | 40 | 66 | -26 | 41 |
24 | Morecambe | 44 | 10 | 6 | 28 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 36 |
> League Two Full Table |