MX23RW : Tuesday, April 22 00:56:13| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2025 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Port Vale

Carlisle
3 - 2
Port Vale

Kelly (36'), Dennis (43'), Hayden (49')
Wearne (79'), Dennis (85'), Hayden (86'), Barclay (90+4'), Barclay (90+4'), Thomas (90+2')
Dennis (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Stockley (61'), Hart (70')
Byers (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Carlisle United and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morecambe 0-2 Carlisle
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Port Vale 5-0 Bromley
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Carlisle United 1-3 Port Vale

While Carlisle have showed signs of improvement in recent outings, Port Vale are undoubtedly the favourites and should comfortably win this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 37.76%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 34.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawPort Vale
34.65% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 27.59% (0.040000000000003 0.04) 37.76% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Both teams to score 48.96% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.22% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15)56.78% (0.149 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.28% (-0.121 -0.12)77.72% (0.121 0.12)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.01% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)30.99% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.71% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)67.29% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.94% (-0.11500000000001 -0.12)29.06% (0.116 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.03% (-0.145 -0.14)64.97% (0.145 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 34.64%
    Port Vale 37.75%
    Draw 27.59%
Carlisle UnitedDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 10.54% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 6.18% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.98% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.41% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.84% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 34.64%
1-1 @ 13.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9% (0.051 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.72% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.59%
0-1 @ 11.12% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.06% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.88% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.32% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.83% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 37.75%

How you voted: Carlisle vs Port Vale

Carlisle United
15.8%
Draw
21.1%
Port Vale
63.2%
19
Head to Head
Dec 21, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 21
Port Vale
0-0
Carlisle
Shorrock (30')
Jones (8'), Neal (29'), Harper (39'), Lavelle (90'), Mellish (90+2')
Jan 1, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 26
Carlisle
2-1
Port Vale
Gibson (80' pen.), Mellish (90+3')
Robinson (23'), Mellish (45+1'), Moxon (51')
Garrity (49')
Iacovitti (33'), Wilson (65')
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Port Vale
1-0
Carlisle
Wilson (50' pen.)
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Carlisle
1-3
Port Vale
Windsor (21')
Worrall (1'), Wilson (43'), Amoo (81')
Aug 17, 2021 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Doncaster RoversDoncaster4422121069482178
2Port Vale442114963451877
3Bradford CityBradford4421121162431975
4Walsall4420141074532174
5AFC Wimbledon4419131255332270
6Notts County4419121364461869
7Grimsby Town44207176166-567
8Colchester UnitedColchester441618105143866
9Salford City441714135851765
10Chesterfield4417131468531564
11Crewe AlexandraCrewe441517124945462
12Bromley441614145856262
13Swindon TownSwindon441515147062860
14BarrowBarrow441512174947257
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood441415155859-157
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham441512175765-857
17Gillingham441315163945-654
18MK Dons44148225266-1450
19Harrogate TownHarrogate441311204057-1750
20Newport CountyNewport441310215170-1949
21Accrington StanleyAccrington441114195268-1647
22Tranmere RoversTranmere441015193964-2545
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle441011234066-2641
24Morecambe44106283866-2836


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