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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Port Vale
League Two | Gameweek 21
Dec 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Carlisle United

Port Vale
0 - 0
Carlisle


Shorrock (30')
FT

Jones (8'), Neal (29'), Harper (39'), Lavelle (90'), Mellish (90+2')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Port Vale and Carlisle United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bromley 0-0 Port Vale
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 0-2 Chesterfield
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Port ValeDrawCarlisle United
40.12% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 26.88% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 33% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.86% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.76% (0.011000000000003 0.01)54.23% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.36% (0.010999999999999 0.01)75.63% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.49% (0.018000000000001 0.02)26.51% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.29% (0.022999999999996 0.02)61.71% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.21% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)30.79% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.94% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)67.06% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 40.11%
    Carlisle United 33%
    Draw 26.87%
Port ValeDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 10.83%
2-1 @ 8.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.19% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 3.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.18% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 2.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.25% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.06% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 40.11%
1-1 @ 12.76%
0-0 @ 8.16% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
2-2 @ 4.99%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.87%
0-1 @ 9.62% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5.66% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.95% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 2.22% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.96%
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 33%

Head to Head
Jan 1, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 26
Carlisle
2-1
Port Vale
Gibson (80' pen.), Mellish (90+3')
Robinson (23'), Mellish (45+1'), Moxon (51')
Garrity (49')
Iacovitti (33'), Wilson (65')
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Port Vale
1-0
Carlisle
Wilson (50' pen.)
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Carlisle
1-3
Port Vale
Windsor (21')
Worrall (1'), Wilson (43'), Amoo (81')
Aug 17, 2021 7.45pm
Apr 17, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 42
Carlisle
0-0
Port Vale
Toure (86')
Worrall (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale432113961431876
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster4321121066481875
3Bradford CityBradford4321111159401974
4Walsall4320131074532173
5AFC Wimbledon4319131155322370
6Notts County4319121263441969
7Colchester UnitedColchester431618951401166
8Grimsby Town43206175964-566
9Chesterfield4317121465501563
10Salford City431614135550562
11Crewe AlexandraCrewe431517114944562
12Swindon TownSwindon431515137061960
13Bromley431514145756159
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood431415145756157
15BarrowBarrow431511174947256
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham431412175564-954
17Gillingham431215163845-751
18Newport CountyNewport43139215170-1948
19MK Dons43138225166-1547
20Harrogate TownHarrogate431211203756-1947
21Accrington StanleyAccrington431113195167-1646
22Tranmere RoversTranmere431014193964-2544
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle431010233965-2640
24Morecambe43106273763-2636


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