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Bromley
League Two | Gameweek 16
Nov 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Rayners Lane
Carlisle United

Bromley
1 - 1
Carlisle

Cheek (54' pen.)
Thompson (57')
Leigh (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Adu-Adjei (90+2')
Guy (37'), Mellish (43'), Burey (51'), Charters (67'), Lavelle (83'), Sadi (90'), Barclay (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Bromley and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlton 1-0 Bromley
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Morecambe 1-2 Carlisle
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Bromley 1-1 Carlisle United

Though both sides have struggled for results of late, Bromley have at least been difficult to beat at home. However, Carlisle have won their last two fixtures and should come into Saturday's game with some confidence, so it would not be surprising if they left Hayes Lane with a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bromley win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 36.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bromley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
BromleyDrawCarlisle United
38.09% (0.54 0.54) 25.62% (0.071000000000002 0.07) 36.29% (-0.609 -0.61)
Both teams to score 55.54% (-0.27500000000001 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.5% (-0.34 -0.34)48.5% (0.343 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.37% (-0.311 -0.31)70.62% (0.31399999999999 0.31)
Bromley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.02% (0.13799999999999 0.14)24.97% (-0.135 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.38% (0.191 0.19)59.61% (-0.189 -0.19)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.02% (-0.502 -0.5)25.97% (0.504 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39% (-0.683 -0.68)60.99% (0.686 0.69)
Score Analysis
    Bromley 38.09%
    Carlisle United 36.29%
    Draw 25.62%
BromleyDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 9% (0.161 0.16)
2-1 @ 8.42% (0.064 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.24% (0.136 0.14)
3-1 @ 3.89% (0.044 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.89% (0.074 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.0079999999999996 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.35% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 1% (0.03 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 38.09%
1-1 @ 12.13% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.49% (0.091 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.67% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.62%
0-1 @ 8.74% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 8.18% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
0-2 @ 5.89% (-0.088 -0.09)
1-3 @ 3.67% (-0.094 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.65% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.55% (-0.055 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.24% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 36.29%

How you voted: Bromley vs Carlisle

Bromley
53.8%
Draw
7.7%
Carlisle United
38.5%
13
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CDoncaster RoversDoncaster4624121073502384
4Walsall4621141175542177
5AFC Wimbledon4620131356352173
6Notts County4620121468491972
7Chesterfield4619131473541970
8Salford City4618151364541069
9Grimsby Town46208186167-668
10Colchester UnitedColchester461619115247567
11Bromley461715146459566
12Swindon TownSwindon461517147163862
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe461517144948162
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood461515166060060
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham461612186070-1060
16BarrowBarrow461514175250259
17Gillingham461416164146-558
18Harrogate TownHarrogate461411214361-1853
19MK Dons461410225266-1452
20Tranmere RoversTranmere461215194565-2051
21Accrington StanleyAccrington461214205369-1650
22Newport CountyNewport461310235276-2449
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle461012244471-2742
RMorecambe46106304072-3236


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