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FA Cup

Carlisle United
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Wigan logo

Carlisle
0 - 2
Wigan


Neal (61'), Lavelle (87')
FT
(aet)
Smith (98'), Smith (120+1')
Rankine (25'), Olakigbe (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Carlisle United and Wigan Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last Game: Carlisle 0-1 Cheltenham
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in League Two

Wigan Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Blackpool 2-2 Wigan
Monday, October 28 at 8pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 49.74%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 25.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-2 (8.65%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%).

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawWigan Athletic
25.67% (0.717 0.72)24.58% (0.082999999999998 0.08)49.74% (-0.804 -0.8)
Both teams to score 53.79% (0.434 0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.56% (0.235 0.23)48.43% (-0.241 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.43% (0.216 0.22)70.57% (-0.218 -0.22)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.82% (0.72499999999999 0.72)33.18% (-0.729 -0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.21% (0.794 0.79)69.78% (-0.797 -0.8)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.5% (-0.23099999999999 -0.23)19.5% (0.228 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.62% (-0.378 -0.38)51.37% (0.374 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 25.67%
    Wigan Athletic 49.74%
    Draw 24.57%
Carlisle UnitedDrawWigan Athletic
1-0 @ 7.14% (0.071 0.07)
2-1 @ 6.44% (0.144 0.14)
2-0 @ 3.94% (0.116 0.12)
3-1 @ 2.37% (0.098 0.1)
3-2 @ 1.94% (0.067 0.07)
3-0 @ 1.45% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 25.67%
1-1 @ 11.66% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.47% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.26% (0.08 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.57%
0-1 @ 10.57% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-2 @ 9.54% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 8.65% (-0.213 -0.21)
1-3 @ 5.2% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-3 @ 4.71% (-0.151 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.87% (0.023 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.12% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.93% (-0.076 -0.08)
2-4 @ 1.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 49.74%

How you voted: Carlisle vs Wigan

Carlisle United
10.5%
Draw
5.3%
Wigan Athletic
84.2%
19
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2024 7pm
Group Stage
Carlisle
0-2
Wigan
Stones (7' pen.), Olakigbe (24')
Smith (32'), Thomas (68')
> Preview
Dec 29, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 25
Wigan
2-0
Carlisle
Magennis (16' pen.), Morrison (36')
Clare (45+2'), Morrison (66'), Shaw (72'), Watts (90+6')

Edmondson (45+2'), Robinson (47'), Barclay (54'), Mellish (60'), Moxon (82'), Maguire (90+1')
> Preview
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Carlisle
1-1
Wigan
Moxon (56')
Mellish (54'), Maguire (67'), Armer (83'), Lavelle (90+9')
Wyke (34')
Clare (19'), Pearce (58')