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League One | Gameweek 13
Oct 22, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The DW Stadium
Mansfield Town

Wigan
1 - 2
Mansfield

Aasgaard (53')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Evans (29'), Baccus (62')
Akins (36'), Baccus (82'), Cargill (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Wigan Athletic and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cambridge 2-0 Wigan
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Mansfield 0-1 Stevenage
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in League One

We said: Wigan Athletic 1-1 Mansfield Town

Wigan are a solid defensive side, and it would not be surprising to see them hold out for another goalless draw on Tuesday night. However, Mansfield are one of the best attacking sides in the league, and we think this might influence the game, though we are predicting a draw in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 38%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Wigan AthleticDrawMansfield Town
34.45% (0.661 0.66) 27.55% (0.206 0.21) 38% (-0.864 -0.86)
Both teams to score 49.07% (-0.519 -0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.38% (-0.699 -0.7)56.62% (0.701 0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.41% (-0.564 -0.56)77.59% (0.56699999999999 0.57)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.96% (0.081999999999994 0.08)31.04% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.65% (0.094999999999999 0.09)67.35% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.16% (-0.83500000000001 -0.84)28.84% (0.839 0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.3% (-1.055 -1.06)64.7% (1.057 1.06)
Score Analysis
    Wigan Athletic 34.45%
    Mansfield Town 38%
    Draw 27.55%
Wigan AthleticDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 10.47% (0.3 0.3)
2-1 @ 7.62% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.13% (0.189 0.19)
3-1 @ 2.97% (0.03 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.39% (0.078 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.85% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 34.45%
1-1 @ 13.02% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 8.95% (0.238 0.24)
2-2 @ 4.74% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.55%
0-1 @ 11.13% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 8.1% (-0.145 -0.15)
0-2 @ 6.92% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-3 @ 3.36% (-0.141 -0.14)
0-3 @ 2.87% (-0.127 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 38%

How you voted: Wigan vs Mansfield

Wigan Athletic
33.3%
Draw
16.7%
Mansfield Town
50.0%
24
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham33237355223376
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe341910560322867
3Wrexham34198749282165
4Stockport CountyStockport351710852341861
5Charlton AthleticCharlton34178946311559
6Huddersfield TownHuddersfield351771147321558
7Bolton WanderersBolton34176115550557
8Reading34159104844454
9Leyton Orient351651450351553
10Barnsley35157135048252
11Stevenage34138133234-247
12Lincoln CityLincoln351210134844446
13Blackpool34101594947245
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham34128143940-144
15Wigan AthleticWigan341010143134-340
16Mansfield TownMansfield34117164047-740
17Peterborough UnitedPeterborough34108165159-838
18Northampton TownNorthampton35911153452-1838
19Exeter CityExeter33107163550-1537
20Bristol Rovers34106183553-1836
21Burton Albion35712163551-1633
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge3478193457-2329
23Crawley TownCrawley3478193764-2729
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3577213458-2428


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