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League One | Gameweek 9
Oct 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Mansfield Town

Crawley
0 - 2
Mansfield


Adeyemo (22'), Williams (36'), Ibrahim (36'), Darcy (69'), Mullarkey (76'), Roles (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gregory (12'), Waine (90+2')
Evans (13'), Clough (14'), Baccus (29'), Lewis (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Crawley Town and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crawley 0-2 Bolton
Saturday, September 28 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 0-2 Mansfield
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League One

We said: Crawley Town 1-2 Mansfield Town

Crawley did not make a great start to life without their previous manager Lindsey, and they were also very wasteful in front of goal in their defeat against Bolton. Meanwhile for Mansfield, Clough has undoubtedly got his side believing they can compete at this level, and with the plethora of attacking options at his disposal, we think the Stags could take all three points on Tuesday and win their fourth league game in a row. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 55.92%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 22.12% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.87%) and 0-2 (8.61%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (5.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Crawley TownDrawMansfield Town
22.12% (-4.339 -4.34) 21.96% (-0.229 -0.23) 55.92% (4.567 4.57)
Both teams to score 58.39% (-4.377 -4.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.59% (-3.484 -3.48)40.41% (3.483 3.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.22% (-3.679 -3.68)62.78% (3.678 3.68)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.17% (-5.346 -5.35)31.83% (5.345 5.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.73% (-6.597 -6.6)68.27% (6.596 6.6)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.65% (0.274 0.27)14.34% (-0.275 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.8% (0.529 0.53)42.19% (-0.52999999999999 -0.53)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 22.12%
    Mansfield Town 55.92%
    Draw 21.95%
Crawley TownDrawMansfield Town
2-1 @ 5.81% (-0.761 -0.76)
1-0 @ 5.23% (0.083 0.08)
2-0 @ 2.99% (-0.425 -0.43)
3-1 @ 2.22% (-0.694 -0.69)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.646 -0.65)
3-0 @ 1.14% (-0.372 -0.37)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 22.12%
1-1 @ 10.14% (0.25 0.25)
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.677 -0.68)
0-0 @ 4.57% (0.694 0.69)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.4 -0.4)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 21.95%
1-2 @ 9.85% (0.344 0.34)
0-1 @ 8.87% (1.422 1.42)
0-2 @ 8.61% (1.45 1.45)
1-3 @ 6.38% (0.283 0.28)
0-3 @ 5.57% (0.984 0.98)
2-3 @ 3.65% (-0.399 -0.4)
1-4 @ 3.1% (0.166 0.17)
0-4 @ 2.71% (0.499 0.5)
2-4 @ 1.77% (-0.174 -0.17)
1-5 @ 1.2% (0.076 0.08)
0-5 @ 1.05% (0.203 0.2)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 55.92%

How you voted: Crawley vs Mansfield

Crawley Town
12.9%
Draw
9.7%
Mansfield Town
77.4%
31
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 43
Mansfield
1-4
Crawley
Boateng (80')
Gordon (4'), Tsaroulla (24'), Orsi (55'), Lolas (56')
Wright (45+1'), Gordon (64'), Kelley (81')
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Crawley
1-3
Mansfield
Orsi (36' pen.)
Wright (8'), Conroy (25'), Gladwin (38'), Kelly (57'), Williams (68')
Williams (68')
Cargill (12'), Keillor-Dunn (56'), Maris (64')
Oates (26'), Clarke (34'), Brunt (59')
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 39
Mansfield
4-1
Crawley
Clarke (4'), Kilgour (47'), Keillor-Dunn (50', 65')
Ogungbo (70')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Crawley
3-2
Mansfield
Nadesan (2', 46'), Nichols (13')
Bowery (16' pen.), Lapslie (27')
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 44
Mansfield
2-0
Crawley
Murphy (26'), Akins (72')
Perch (36'), McLaughlin (36'), Lapslie (83')

Tilley (45+2'), Tilley (69')
Tilley (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBirmingham CityBirmingham463493843153111
3Stockport CountyStockport462512972423087
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4625101167432485
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe4624121070452584
6Leyton Orient462461672482478
7Reading4621121368571175
8Bolton WanderersBolton46208186770-368
9Blackpool4617161372601267
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46197205855364
11Lincoln CityLincoln461613176456861
12Barnsley461710196973-461
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham461611195459-559
14Stevenage461512194250-857
15Wigan AthleticWigan461317164042-256
16Exeter CityExeter461511204965-1656
17Mansfield TownMansfield46159226073-1354
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough461312216881-1351
19Northampton TownNorthampton461215194866-1851
20Burton Albion461114214966-1747
RCrawley TownCrawley461210245783-2646
RBristol Rovers46127274476-3243
RCambridge UnitedCambridge46911264573-2838
RShrewsbury TownShrewsbury4689294179-3833


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