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Crawley Town
League One | Gameweek 8
Sep 28, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Bolton logo

Crawley
0 - 2
Bolton


Kelley (86'), Mukena (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dempsey (5'), McAtee (78')
Adeboyejo (27'), Evatt (28'), Thomason (59'), Collins (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Crawley Town and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wrexham 2-1 Crawley
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Arsenal 5-1 Bolton
Wednesday, September 25 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

We said: Crawley Town 1-2 Bolton Wanderers

With little to separate these two sides heading into Saturday's game, the knock-on effect of Crawley losing their manager could just swing this game narrowly in the favour of Bolton, but given the recent defensive frailties of the visitors, it would be a surprise if they kept a clean sheet on the road this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 47.8%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 29.24% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.54%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Crawley TownDrawBolton Wanderers
29.24% (0.036999999999999 0.04) 22.95% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 47.8% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 62.34% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.51% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)38.48% (0.047999999999995 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.22% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)60.77% (0.052 0.05)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.59% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)25.4% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.78% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)60.21% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.57% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)16.42% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.9% (-0.067 -0.07)46.09% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 29.24%
    Bolton Wanderers 47.8%
    Draw 22.94%
Crawley TownDrawBolton Wanderers
2-1 @ 7.08% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.72% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.92% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.79% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 29.24%
1-1 @ 10.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.39% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.17% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.76% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.94%
1-2 @ 9.33% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 7.54% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.81% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 5.62% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.1% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.85% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.54% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.85% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.74% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
1-5 @ 0.92% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 47.8%

How you voted: Crawley vs Bolton

Crawley Town
23.1%
Draw
0.0%
Bolton Wanderers
76.9%
13
Head to Head
May 8, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 46
Crawley
1-4
Bolton
Rodari (89')
Francomb (12'), Tsaroulla (45'), Nadesan (75'), Powell (79')
Francomb (32')
Sarcevic (9'), Afolayan (26'), Doyle (48'), Isgrove (77')
Jan 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 22
Bolton
0-1
Crawley

Brockbank (41'), Greenidge (64')
Greenidge (90+4')
Francomb (61')
Aug 28, 2012 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBirmingham CityBirmingham463493843153111
3Stockport CountyStockport462512972423087
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4625101167432485
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe4624121070452584
6Leyton Orient462461672482478
7Reading4621121368571175
8Bolton WanderersBolton46208186770-368
9Blackpool4617161372601267
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46197205855364
11Lincoln CityLincoln461613176456861
12Barnsley461710196973-461
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham461611195459-559
14Stevenage461512194250-857
15Wigan AthleticWigan461317164042-256
16Exeter CityExeter461511204965-1656
17Mansfield TownMansfield46159226073-1354
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough461312216881-1351
19Northampton TownNorthampton461215194866-1851
20Burton Albion461114214966-1747
RCrawley TownCrawley461210245783-2646
RBristol Rovers46127274476-3243
RCambridge UnitedCambridge46911264573-2838
RShrewsbury TownShrewsbury4689294179-3833


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