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League One | Gameweek 7
Sep 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Reading logo

Bolton
5 - 2
Reading

Sheehan (12'), Charles (21' pen., 34', 45+4' pen.), Dempsey (87')
Santos (16'), Baxter (81'), Williams (88'), Arfield (90+1')
FT(HT: 4-1)
Elliott (41'), Smith (57' pen.)
Wing (11'), Knibbs (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 0-4 Huddersfield
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 0-1 Leyton Orient
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 1-1 Reading

Bolton will be in a downbeat mood after losing three consecutive matches, and we think that their lack of confidence may present Reading with an opportunity to take a useful point from Saturday's away fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for Reading had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawReading
43.61% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 24.25% (0.0030000000000001 0) 32.13% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Both teams to score 59.31% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.84% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)43.16% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.44% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)65.56% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.04% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)19.96% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.88% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)52.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.1% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)25.89% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.12%60.88% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 43.61%
    Reading 32.13%
    Draw 24.25%
Bolton WanderersDrawReading
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.33% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 6.71% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.87% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 3.61%
3-2 @ 3.29%
4-1 @ 1.96% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.45% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.33%
Other @ 3%
Total : 43.61%
1-1 @ 11.25%
2-2 @ 6.13%
0-0 @ 5.17% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.25%
1-2 @ 7.6%
0-1 @ 6.98% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.72%
1-3 @ 3.42%
2-3 @ 2.76%
0-3 @ 2.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.16%
2-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 32.13%

How you voted: Bolton vs Reading

Bolton Wanderers
60.0%
Draw
6.7%
Reading
33.3%
15
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 42
Bolton
5-2
Reading
Collins (11', 45+4' pen., 77'), Dadi Bodvarsson (49', 90+5')
Ogbeta (16'), Sheehan (53')
Wing (40'), Mukairu (90+2')
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Reading
2-1
Bolton
Savage (77'), Vickers (86')
Ballard (30'), Yiadom (79'), Azeez (87'), Mbengue (87'), (90+7'), Savage (90+2')
Charles (20')
Santos (13'), Toal (16'), Williams (38'), Jerome (76'), Thomason (76')
Toal (90+4')
Jan 29, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 29
Bolton
1-1
Reading
Hobbs (90')
Noone (35'), Taylor (58')
Oliveira (74' pen.)
Gunter (53'), Rinomhota (60'), Swift (63')
Aug 18, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 3
Reading
0-1
Bolton

Blackett (25'), Kelly (65')
Wildschut (48')
Wheater (11')
Mar 6, 2018 8pm
Reading
1-1
Bolton
Barrow (32')
Barrow (33'), Edwards (64'), Evans (81')
Le Fondre (45')
Buckley (57'), Flanagan (89'), Henry (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBirmingham CityBirmingham463493843153111
3Stockport CountyStockport462512972423087
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4625101167432485
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe4624121070452584
6Leyton Orient462461672482478
7Reading4621121368571175
8Bolton WanderersBolton46208186770-368
9Blackpool4617161372601267
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46197205855364
11Lincoln CityLincoln461613176456861
12Barnsley461710196973-461
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham461611195459-559
14Stevenage461512194250-857
15Wigan AthleticWigan461317164042-256
16Exeter CityExeter461511204965-1656
17Mansfield TownMansfield46159226073-1354
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough461312216881-1351
19Northampton TownNorthampton461215194866-1851
20Burton Albion461114214966-1747
RCrawley TownCrawley461210245783-2646
RBristol Rovers46127274476-3243
RCambridge UnitedCambridge46911264573-2838
RShrewsbury TownShrewsbury4689294179-3833


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