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League One | Gameweek 1
Aug 10, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Reading logo

Birmingham
1 - 1
Reading

May (87' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ehibhaimha (42')
Wing (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Birmingham City and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 4-1 West Brom
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Reading 2-0 Hull City
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Birmingham City 2-1 Reading

In front of a sold-out crowd at St Andrew's, Birmingham will be overwhelming favourites against cash-strapped Reading, but it is unlikely to be a simple task for the hosts on the opening weekend. The Royals have a close-knit group who will fight for an upset in the Second City, but we feel that Blues' quality will come up trumps in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Birmingham City win with a probability of 43.02%. A win for Reading has a probability of 31.77% and a draw has a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Reading win is 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.91%).

Result
Birmingham CityDrawReading
43.02% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09) 25.21% (0.111 0.11) 31.77% (-0.029 -0.03)
Both teams to score 55.85% (-0.392 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.37% (-0.506 -0.51)47.62% (0.499 0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.17% (-0.47 -0.47)69.83% (0.46300000000001 0.46)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.9% (-0.256 -0.26)22.1% (0.25 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.54% (-0.387 -0.39)55.46% (0.381 0.38)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.69% (-0.27200000000001 -0.27)28.31% (0.265 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.96% (-0.339 -0.34)64.03% (0.332 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 43.02%
    Reading 31.77%
    Draw 25.2%
Birmingham CityDrawReading
1-0 @ 9.44% (0.125 0.13)
2-1 @ 9% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.13% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.53% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.59% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.71% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 43.02%
1-1 @ 11.91% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.26% (0.129 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.68% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.2%
0-1 @ 7.9% (0.105 0.11)
1-2 @ 7.52% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.98% (0.03 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.16% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.39% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 31.77%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Reading

Birmingham City
73.0%
Draw
8.1%
Reading
18.9%
37
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Dec 16, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 23
Birmingham
3-2
Reading
Deeney (2', 23' pen.), Chong (36')
Joao (82'), Ince (90+4')
Feb 22, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 34
Reading
2-1
Birmingham
Joao (67'), Swift (73' pen.)
McIntyre (82' og.)
Pedersen (31'), Bela (51'), Hernandez (72')
Nov 6, 2021 3.30pm
Gameweek 17
Birmingham
1-2
Reading
Hogan (3')
Bela (30'), Dean (34'), Oakley (38'), McGree (55')
Clarke (70', 82')
Holmes (76')
Mar 17, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Birmingham
2-1
Reading
Jutkiewicz (4'), Dean (72')
Colin (22'), Gardner (28')
Meite (35')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBirmingham CityBirmingham463493843153111
3Stockport CountyStockport462512972423087
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4625101167432485
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe4624121070452584
6Leyton Orient462461672482478
7Reading4621121368571175
8Bolton WanderersBolton46208186770-368
9Blackpool4617161372601267
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46197205855364
11Lincoln CityLincoln461613176456861
12Barnsley461710196973-461
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham461611195459-559
14Stevenage461512194250-857
15Wigan AthleticWigan461317164042-256
16Exeter CityExeter461511204965-1656
17Mansfield TownMansfield46159226073-1354
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough461312216881-1351
19Northampton TownNorthampton461215194866-1851
20Burton Albion461114214966-1747
RCrawley TownCrawley461210245783-2646
RBristol Rovers46127274476-3243
RCambridge UnitedCambridge46911264573-2838
RShrewsbury TownShrewsbury4689294179-3833


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