

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 47.6%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 28.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.35%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 2-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burton Albion | Draw | Reading | 
| 28.15% (  -0.01) | 24.24% (  0) | 47.6% (  0) | 
| Both teams to score 56.99% (  -0.01) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 54.82% (  -0.01) | 45.18% (  0.01) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 32.47% (  -0.01) | 67.53% (  0.01) | 
| Burton Albion Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 70.44% (  -0.01) | 29.56% (  0.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.42% (  -0.01) | 65.59% (  0.01) | 
| Reading Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 80.91% (  -0) | 19.09% (  0) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.3% (  -0) | 50.71% (  0) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Burton Albion | Draw | Reading | 
| 2-1 @ 6.94% (  -0) 1-0 @ 6.88% (  0) 2-0 @ 4.19% (  -0) 3-1 @ 2.82% (  -0) 3-2 @ 2.34% (  -0) 3-0 @ 1.7% Other @ 3.29% Total : 28.15% | 1-1 @ 11.38% 2-2 @ 5.75% (  -0) 0-0 @ 5.64% (  0) 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.24% | 1-2 @ 9.43% 0-1 @ 9.35% (  0) 0-2 @ 7.74% (  0) 1-3 @ 5.21% 0-3 @ 4.27% (  0) 2-3 @ 3.17% (  -0) 1-4 @ 2.16% 0-4 @ 1.77% 2-4 @ 1.31% (  -0) Other @ 3.21% Total : 47.6% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Portsmouth | 46 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 78 | 41 | 37 | 97 | 
| P | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 92 | 
| 3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 86 | 51 | 35 | 87 | 
| 4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 89 | 61 | 28 | 84 | 
| 5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 79 | 56 | 23 | 77 | 
| 6 | Barnsley | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 82 | 64 | 18 | 76 | 
| 7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 65 | 40 | 25 | 74 | 
| 8 | Blackpool | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 73 | 
| 9 | Stevenage | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 71 | 
| 10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 65 | 
| 11 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 65 | 
| 12 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 62 | 
| 13 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 61 | 
| 14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 60 | 
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 57 | 
| 16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 11 | 20 | 15 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 53 | 
| 17 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 53 | 
| 18 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 48 | 
| 19 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 67 | -32 | 48 | 
| 20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 46 | 
| R | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 12 | 8 | 26 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 44 | 
| R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 49 | 72 | -23 | 43 | 
| R | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 41 | 
| R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 41 | 81 | -40 | 30 | 
| > League One Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
