Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Jun 5, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio IV Centenario
Jesus Noble (41'), Jose Orellana Chavarria (51')
Jose Orellana Chavarria (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Form, Standings, Stats
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We said: Real Tomayapo 1-2 Internacional
Scoring three times in their last group game could give Tamayapo some belief heading into this match, coupled with the fact that they have nothing to lose in front of their home fans. However, we think the away side have the quality to edge this game.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 56.16%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Real Tomayapo had a probability of 18.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.92%) and 1-2 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Real Tomayapo win it was 1-0 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Internacional would win this match.
| Result |
| Real Tomayapo | Draw | Internacional |
18.29% ( -0.73) | 25.54% ( -0.34) | 56.16% ( 1.07) |
| Both teams to score 41.95% ( -0.23) |
