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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 56.51%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 20.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.91%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-0 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
Result | ||
Burton Albion | Draw | Barnsley |
20.55% (![]() | 22.95% (![]() | 56.51% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.73% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.2% (![]() | 46.8% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.94% (![]() | 69.06% (![]() |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.05% (![]() | 36.96% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.26% (![]() | 73.74% (![]() |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.65% (![]() | 16.35% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.03% (![]() | 45.97% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Burton Albion | Draw | Barnsley |
1-0 @ 6.02% (![]() 2-1 @ 5.42% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.8% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.63% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 1.69% Total : 20.55% | 1-1 @ 10.89% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.04% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.91% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.95% | 0-1 @ 10.94% (![]() 0-2 @ 9.91% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.86% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 5.98% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.95% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.96% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.71% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.7% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.34% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 0.98% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 2.2% Total : 56.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Portsmouth | 46 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 78 | 41 | 37 | 97 |
P | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 92 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 86 | 51 | 35 | 87 |
4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 89 | 61 | 28 | 84 |
5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 79 | 56 | 23 | 77 |
6 | Barnsley | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 82 | 64 | 18 | 76 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 65 | 40 | 25 | 74 |
8 | Blackpool | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 73 |
9 | Stevenage | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 71 |
10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 65 |
11 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 65 |
12 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 62 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 61 |
14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 60 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 57 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 11 | 20 | 15 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 53 |
17 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 53 |
18 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 48 |
19 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 67 | -32 | 48 |
20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 46 |
R | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 12 | 8 | 26 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 44 |
R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 49 | 72 | -23 | 43 |
R | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 41 |
R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 41 | 81 | -40 | 30 |
> League One Full Table |