MX23RW : Sunday, April 30 08:44:41| >> :300:86500:86500:
Accrington Stanley
Barnsley
Bolton logo
Bristol Rovers
Burton Albion
Cambridge United
Charlton Athletic
Cheltenham Town
Derby logo
Exeter City
Fleetwood Town
Forest Green Rovers
Ipswich logo
Lincoln City
MK Dons
Morecambe
Oxford United
Peterborough United
Plymouth Argyle
Port Vale
Portsmouth
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Shrewsbury Town
Wycombe Wanderers
Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Barnsley
Burton Albion
2 - 1
Barnsley
Shaughnessy (50'), Taylor (87')
Kirk (15'), Powell (48'), Ashworth (65'), Brayford (69'), MacGillivray (81'), Shaughnessy (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cadden (89')
Watters (81'), Andersen (90')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cheltenham 0-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 5-0 Morecambe
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 1-3 Barnsley

Barnsley claimed a 2-0 victory when they faced Burton at Oakwell in December, and although they do not have home advantage on this occasion, we think that they have enough quality in their squad to complete a league double over the Brewers. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 51.76%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 24.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 2-1 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawBarnsley
24.87% (0.056000000000001 0.06) 23.37% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 51.76% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07)
Both teams to score 56.95% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.13% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)43.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.74% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)66.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.61% (0.043999999999997 0.04)31.39% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.24% (0.052 0.05)67.76% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.02% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)16.98% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.9% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)47.1% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 24.87%
    Barnsley 51.76%
    Draw 23.37%
Burton AlbionDrawBarnsley
2-1 @ 6.34% (0.011 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.18% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.58% (0.01 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.45% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.17% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.38% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 24.87%
1-1 @ 10.95% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.62% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 5.33% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.37%
1-2 @ 9.71% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 9.45% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.38% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.74% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.95% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.32%
1-4 @ 2.54% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 2.2% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.47% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-5 @ 0.9% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 51.76%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Barnsley

Burton Albion
15.4%
Draw
0.0%
Barnsley
84.6%
13
Head to Head
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Apr 6, 2019 3pm
Burton Albion
3-1
Barnsley
Allen (5'), Boyce (81'), Harness (89')
Boyce (8')
Woodrow (85' pen.)
Bahre (74'), Woodrow (83')
Feb 19, 2019 7.45pm
Feb 20, 2018 7.45pm
Barnsley
1-2
Burton Albion
Pinillos (75')
Williams (55')
Allen (1'), Davenport (45')
McFadzean (50'), Naylor (62'), Akins (74'), Allen (88')
Oct 31, 2017 7.45pm
Burton Albion
2-4
Barnsley
Lund (37'), Dyer (45')
Isgrove (21'), Potts (40'), Williams (73'), Barnes (87')
Isgrove (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
3Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds452712680374393
4Barnsley452681180453586
5Bolton WanderersBolton4522121159342578
6Derby CountyDerby4521131167452276
7Peterborough UnitedPeterborough452351773541974
8Portsmouth4517181059481169
9Wycombe WanderersWycombe45208175749868
10Charlton AthleticCharlton451613166864461
11Lincoln CityLincoln451320124647-159
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood451415165149257
13Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury44168205059-956
14Exeter CityExeter451411206166-553
15Bristol Rovers441411195568-1353
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham451411204359-1653
17Burton Albion441410205679-2352
18Port Vale451310224768-2149
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd451114204854-647
20MK Dons451111234466-2244
21Morecambe451014214575-3044
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge44127253967-2843
23Accrington StanleyAccrington451011243876-3841
RForest Green RoversForest Green4569303187-5627

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!