Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wycombe Wanderers win with a probability of 36.91%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 36.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wycombe Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (10.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wycombe Wanderers | Draw | Barnsley |
| 36.91% ( | 26.87% ( | 36.22% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.33% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.15% ( | 53.85% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.68% ( | 75.31% ( |
| Wycombe Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.85% ( | 28.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.17% ( | 63.83% ( |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.44% ( | 28.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.64% ( | 64.35% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Wycombe Wanderers | Draw | Barnsley |
| 1-0 @ 10.19% ( 2-1 @ 8.1% ( 2-0 @ 6.46% ( 3-1 @ 3.42% ( 3-0 @ 2.73% ( 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 4-1 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.78% Total : 36.91% | 1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 8.04% ( 2-2 @ 5.07% ( Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.87% | 0-1 @ 10.07% ( 1-2 @ 8% ( 0-2 @ 6.31% ( 1-3 @ 3.34% ( 0-3 @ 2.64% ( 2-3 @ 2.12% ( 1-4 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.68% Total : 36.21% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 42 | 27 | 8 | 7 | 73 | 45 | 28 | 89 |
| 2 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 42 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 87 | 33 | 54 | 88 |
| 3 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 43 | 25 | 12 | 6 | 75 | 36 | 39 | 87 |
| 4 | Barnsley | 42 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 74 | 38 | 36 | 82 |
| 5 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 43 | 23 | 4 | 16 | 73 | 51 | 22 | 73 |
| 6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 56 | 33 | 23 | 72 |
| 7 | Derby CountyDerby | 43 | 20 | 12 | 11 | 65 | 44 | 21 | 72 |
| 8 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 43 | 20 | 8 | 15 | 57 | 44 | 13 | 68 |
| 9 | Portsmouth | 43 | 16 | 17 | 10 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 65 |
| 10 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 58 |
| 11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 42 | 12 | 20 | 10 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 56 |
| 12 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 42 | 16 | 8 | 18 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 56 |
| 13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 43 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 54 |
| 14 | Exeter CityExeter | 43 | 14 | 11 | 18 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 53 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 41 | 14 | 10 | 17 | 55 | 64 | -9 | 52 |
| 16 | Burton Albion | 41 | 13 | 10 | 18 | 55 | 77 | -22 | 49 |
| 17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 42 | 12 | 11 | 19 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 47 |
| 18 | Port Vale | 43 | 12 | 10 | 21 | 43 | 65 | -22 | 46 |
| 19 | MK Dons | 43 | 11 | 10 | 22 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 43 |
| 20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 42 | 9 | 14 | 19 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 41 |
| 21 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 42 | 11 | 7 | 24 | 36 | 63 | -27 | 40 |
| 22 | Morecambe | 43 | 8 | 14 | 21 | 39 | 71 | -32 | 38 |
| 23 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 42 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 38 |
| R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 43 | 6 | 9 | 28 | 30 | 81 | -51 | 27 |
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