Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wycombe Wanderers win with a probability of 53.69%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wycombe Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wycombe Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wycombe Wanderers | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 53.69% ( | 25.32% ( | 21% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.36% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.4% ( | 55.6% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.24% ( | 76.76% ( |
| Wycombe Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.27% ( | 20.73% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.66% ( | 53.34% ( |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.48% ( | 41.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.98% ( | 78.02% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Wycombe Wanderers | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 1-0 @ 13.54% 2-0 @ 10.65% ( 2-1 @ 9.37% ( 3-0 @ 5.59% ( 3-1 @ 4.91% ( 4-0 @ 2.2% ( 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 4-1 @ 1.93% ( Other @ 3.32% Total : 53.68% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( 0-0 @ 8.61% ( 2-2 @ 4.12% ( Other @ 0.69% Total : 25.31% | 0-1 @ 7.56% ( 1-2 @ 5.23% ( 0-2 @ 3.32% ( 1-3 @ 1.53% ( 2-3 @ 1.21% ( 0-3 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 1.16% Total : 21% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
| 1 | S | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 |
| 2 | I | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 |
| 3 | S | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 |
| 4 | T | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 5 | R | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 27 |
| 2 | Portsmouth | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 25 |
| 3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Barnsley | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 19 |
| 5 | Stevenage | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 18 |
| 6 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Derby CountyDerby | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 17 |
| 8 | Port Vale | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 17 |
| 9 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 16 |
| 10 | Exeter CityExeter | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 15 |
| 12 | Bristol Rovers | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 15 |
| 13 | Blackpool | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 15 |
| 14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 14 |
| 15 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 14 |
| 16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 13 |
| 17 | Leyton Orient | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 11 |
| 18 | Burton Albion | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 10 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 10 |
| 20 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 8 |
| 21 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 8 |
| 22 | Reading | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 6 |
| 23 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 5 |
| 24 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 19 | -19 | 1 |
| > League One Full Table | |||||||||
