

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 58.33%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 19.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Eastleigh win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Eastleigh | 
| 58.33% ( | 22.25% ( | 19.41% ( | 
| Both teams to score 53.16% ( | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 54.67% ( | 45.33% ( | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 32.33% ( | 67.67% ( | 
| Hartlepool United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 84.77% | 15.23% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.11% | 43.89% ( | 
| Eastleigh Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 62.71% ( | 37.29% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.92% ( | 74.08% ( | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Eastleigh | 
| 1-0 @ 10.68% 2-0 @ 10.05% 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 3-0 @ 6.31% ( 3-1 @ 6.22% 3-2 @ 3.07% ( 4-0 @ 2.97% ( 4-1 @ 2.93% 4-2 @ 1.44% ( 5-0 @ 1.12% 5-1 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.51% Total : 58.32%  | 1-1 @ 10.54% 0-0 @ 5.68% ( 2-2 @ 4.89% ( 3-3 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.25%  | 0-1 @ 5.6% 1-2 @ 5.2% ( 0-2 @ 2.76% ( 1-3 @ 1.71% ( 2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0-3 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 1.62% Total : 19.41%  | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 | 
| 2 | Barnet | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 38 | 22 | 16 | 42 | 
| 3 | Bromley | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 35 | 
| 4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 34 | 
| 5 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 29 | 
| 6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 | 
| 7 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 27 | 
| 8 | Gateshead | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 26 | 
| 9 | Rochdale | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 24 | 
| 10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 23 | 
| 11 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 23 | 
| 12 | Woking | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 | 
| 13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 22 | 
| 14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 21 | 
| 15 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 21 | 
| 16 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 | 
| 17 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 | 
| 18 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 19 | 
| 19 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 17 | 
| 20 | Fylde | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 16 | 
| 21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 16 | 
| 22 | York City | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 16 | 
| 23 | Oxford CityOxford City | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 14 | 
| 24 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 14 | 
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