
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 37.58%. A win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 37.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest Kidderminster Harriers win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eastleigh would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eastleigh | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers | 
| 37.58% (  4.55) | 25.17% (  -0.87) | 37.25% (  -3.68) | 
| Both teams to score 57.17% (  3.63) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 53.57% (  4.39) | 46.43% (  -4.39) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 31.29% (  4) | 68.71% (  -3.99) | 
| Eastleigh Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 75.7% (  4.76) | 24.3% (  -4.76) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.32% (  6.3) | 58.68% (  -6.3) | 
| Kidderminster Harriers Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 75.52% (  0.04) | 24.48% (  -0.04) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.07% (  0.06) | 58.93% (  -0.06) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Eastleigh | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers | 
| 1-0 @ 8.42% (  -0.39) 2-1 @ 8.38% (  0.73) 2-0 @ 5.95% (  0.51) 3-1 @ 3.95% (  0.8) 3-0 @ 2.81% (  0.57) 3-2 @ 2.78% (  0.57) 4-1 @ 1.4% (  0.42) 4-0 @ 0.99% (  0.3) 4-2 @ 0.98% (  0.3) Other @ 1.92% Total : 37.58% | 1-1 @ 11.84% (  -0.53) 0-0 @ 5.95% (  -1.18) 2-2 @ 5.89% (  0.52) 3-3 @ 1.3% (  0.27) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 8.37% (  -1.64) 1-2 @ 8.33% (  -0.37) 0-2 @ 5.89% (  -1.15) 1-3 @ 3.91% (  -0.17) 2-3 @ 2.77% (  0.25) 0-3 @ 2.76% (  -0.54) 1-4 @ 1.38% (  -0.06) 2-4 @ 0.97% (  0.09) 0-4 @ 0.97% (  -0.19) Other @ 1.89% Total : 37.25% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
| 1 | S | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 
| 2 | I | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 
| 3 | S | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 
| 4 | T | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 
| 5 | R | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 36 | 21 | 15 | 38 | 
| 2 | Barnet | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 19 | 13 | 35 | 
| 3 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 30 | 
| 4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 27 | 
| 5 | Bromley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 26 | 
| 6 | Gateshead | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 25 | 
| 7 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 22 | 
| 8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 21 | 
| 9 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 21 | 
| 10 | Rochdale | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 20 | 
| 11 | Eastleigh | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 20 | 
| 12 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 19 | 
| 13 | Woking | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 | 
| 14 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 18 | 
| 15 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 16 | 
| 16 | Ebbsfleet | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 16 | 
| 17 | York City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 15 | 
| 18 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 15 | 
| 19 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 14 | 
| 20 | Oxford CityOxford City | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 14 | 
| 21 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 13 | 
| 22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 13 | 
| 23 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 13 | 
| 24 | Fylde | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 9 | 
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